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Head-to-Head Risers and Fallers: Devin Mesoraco, Khris Davis and More

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Identifying risers and fallers in head-to-head points' leagues for Week 4, including Reds catcher Devin Mesoraco and Brewers outfielder Khris Davis.

Risers

Devin Mesoraco, C, Reds

Since coming back from an oblique injury, Mesoraco has a hit in all nine contests, going 17 for 33 at the dish with three home runs and six doubles. He leads the team with 11 RBIs in just nine games, and he's already been worth 1.2 WAR, according to FanGraphs -- only four players have been worth more. No longer restrained by Dusty Baker's veteran-biased shackles and the shadow of Ryan Hanigan, Mesoraco is set for full playing time in Cincinnati. The 25-year-old won't be a negative in the strikeout department, with a respectable 17.7 percent strikeout rate in his career. It's really quite simple: more playing time equals more stats equals more points. Despite his league-leading 48 points at the catcher position, he's available in 50 percent of Yahoo leagues and 40 percent of ESPN leagues. Mesoraco could pass as a viable option in 12-teamers, with the chance to hit .270 with 15 home runs and 60-70 RBIs. He won't stay this hot forever (.583 BABIP), but he looks legit after being selected after the likes of A.J. Pierzynski and Travis d'Arnaud on draft day.

Marcell Ozuna, OF, Marlins

Ozuna is off to a scorching start for the Flying Fish, slashing .333/.382/.522 with three home runs, 12 runs, 10 RBIs and two steals in 18 contests. Ozuna has put together monster seasons in the minors before (23 home runs in 2011, 24 in 2012), but he's forever been a free swinger with lofty strikeout rates. Through nine games, Ozuna has refined his approach at the plate with just 13 strikeouts in 76 plate appearances (17.1 percent strikeout rate), in addition to six walks. He's still swinging and missing at too many balls outside of the strike zone, but as FanGraphs' Jack Weiland points out, he's flailing at fewer pitches in the dirt. Ozuna is currently inside the top-20 outfielders in points' leagues, and he's still available in over 70 percent of Yahoo leagues. He's hit safely in 15 of 18 games, and he could approach 20 home runs over the course of a full season. If his improved plate discipline lasts, Ozuna could be a sneaky No. 3 outfielder.

Fallers

Khris Davis, OF, Brewers

Davis was a popular sleeper on the heels of 11 home runs and a .316 ISO in 56 games a year ago -- but so far, the power is missing (one home run in 17 games). His batting average is fine at .258 (no one expected him to hit .280 again), but he's struck out in 29.1 percent of his plate appearances; through 63 at-bats, Krush has 20 strikeouts and one walk. His O-Swing% is all the way up to 39 percent, and he's making contact at a dismal 65.5 percent clip. Davis won't be able to sustain any value in points' leagues unless he becomes more selective at the plate. In 73 career games, he's walked just 12 times. Additionally, Krush hasn't attempted a steal on a team that led the National League in thefts last season. It's still early, but Davis is looking like a liability outside of deep roto leagues.

Everth Cabrera, SS, Padres

On the surface, Cabrera's 2014 season is off to a fine start. The shortstop is hitting .329 after many thought he over performed with a .283 BA in 2013. With a .300-plus batting average, you'd expect Cabrera to be blazing the base paths -- but that's not the case. After stealing 37 bags last season, he's just 2 for 5 in stolen base attempts to start the year. Furthermore, Cabrera's .329 is deceiving. His batting average is being supported by a .444 BABIP, and he's succeeding despite an ugly 19:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio atop San Diego's batting order. It would be hard to dump Cabrera given the current state of the shortstop position, but he could be someone to lump in a trade for a bigger name acquisition. I'd hold if I owned Cabrera, but expect his batting average to come down significantly over the course of the next month.


Brewers vs Padres series preview: Holy Pitching!!!

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Hot off a series win against the Pirates, including 3 straight, the Brewers return home for a 3 game set against the 9-10 Padres.

Since last year I keep thinking the Padres are better than most people give them credit for. Thus far I've been proven mostly wrong. Their main problem is that they're an unbalanced team. They're pitching is actually pretty solid. It currently ranks 5th in all of baseball, right behind the Brewers, by fWAR. The problem is their offense lags behind quite significantly. As a team they have an 80 wRC+ which is tied for 26th worst in baseball. For reference, the Brewers currently possess a 99 wRC+ which ranks 16th. The Padres have the 7th highest strikeout rate and 4th lowest walk rate. Hopefully that will benefit Brewers pitching.

Monday, April 21 7:10 PM CT: Wily Peralta vs Andrew Cashner

Wily Peralta has been pretty decent so far this season. His 17.3% strikeout rate is up from last year's 16.1% which is encouraging. Also encouraging is that his walk rate is down from 9.1% last to 6.7% this year. Hopefully those numbers are a sign of things to come.

Andrew Cashner is awesome. Sorry, I know he's the opposing pitcher, but I kind of love him. He's basically what I think Wily Peralta could be if his strikeout numbers jumped. Cashner throws in the mid to high-90s, currently averaging 93.5 mph (Peralta throws harder), and he induces lots of ground balls. In fact, he's currently sporting a 60.8% ground ball rate. Yikes! He's also adept at getting strikeouts. Last year he had an 18.7% strikeout rate and so far this year it's at 24.3%. Yikes again. I won't lie, this looks like a tough outing for the Brewers offense.

Tuesday, April 22 7:10 PM CT: Yovani Gallardo vs Ian Kennedy

Last time I wrote about Gallardo abandoning his previous strikeout model and adopting a new pitch to contact, ground ball approach. So, of course, Gallardo struck out 6 in 6 innings and induced only a 26.7% ground ball rate. I think this is less a reemergence of his strikeout ways and more a random event. Though I do think we can expect a solid amount of strikeouts again because of the Padres offensive profile.

Ian Kennedy's 4.13 ERA looks deceptive to me. He's had a 24% strikeout rate and 5.9% walk rate so far this season. He's not giving up a lot of home runs either with a 0.38 HR/9. His batting average against is .220, his WHIP is 1.04, and his BABIP is .284. Seriously, how did he give up so many runs? Nothing jumps out at me so I have to assume he's been supremely unlucky. Hopefully that bad luck stays with him and the Brewers win 1-0 off a pinch hit home run from Jeff Bianchi.

Wednesday, April 23 7:10 PM CT: Kyle Lohse vs Tyson Ross

Kyle Lohse had another solid outing last time around when he faced the Pirates. They did put up 3 runs against him, but 2 were unearned. He struck out 5 in 6.1 innings pitched which is solid. I wouldn't be surprised to see his new found (and likely temporary) ability to get strikeouts, sticks around for this game. Unless something wacky happens I expect another strong outing.

Tyson Ross is another guy that has a great strikeout rate. His current 23.4% strikeout rate is almost identical to his 23.6% from last year so we know it's not a fluke. He does have an issue with walking people. His current 10.3% rate is a few ticks higher than last year's 8.7%. Still, the Brewers have the lowest walk rate in baseball so I'm not expecting this to be an issue

Prediction

I still think the Padres are better than most people give them credit for. I also think the Brewers are the better team, but damn if the Padre's pitching staff this series doesn't look sexy. Runs might be few and far between this entire series for both teams. I'm going to guess the Brewers take 2 out of 3 with tonight's match-up being the toughest.

Statistics courtesy of Fangraphs

04/21 Padres Preview: Game 20 @ Brewers

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Padres begin a three-game series this afternoon against the team with the best record in baseball.

Coming off a successful homestand, our Padres hit the road for ten more games to close out the month of April. The Padres didn't lose any of the three series they played at home over the last ten days; starting with a series win against a tough Tigers team, then a four-game set which they split against the Rockies, and finishing with their second series win over the Giants.

The ten-game stretch on the road begins in Milwaukee for three games against the BrewersAndrew Cashner will kick off the series tonight and try to continue being one of the more dominant pitchers in the league. Dating back to 2013, Cashner has kept opponents to two runs or less in each of his last ten starts. In his four appearances this year, he's only allowed four earned runs in 28 1/3 innings, including 9 scoreless innings en route to a one-hit complete-game shutout on April 11th. He has been quite successful against the Brewers in the past. In eight career outings (two starts) spanning work with the Padres and the Cubs, he is 2-0 with a 2.40 ERA against Milwaukee.

The Brewers might be one the toughest teams Cashner will face this season. They come into this series having won three of four against their division rival, the Pirates, and boasting the best record (14-5) in the majors. Today's starter, Wily Peralta, has been a big part of their success this season. He's allowed eight runs over his three starts (18 1/3 innings) this year, though only four of those runs were earned, and the Brewers have gone on to win each of those outings. His last time out he stopped the Cardinals' four-game winning streak, giving up just one run in 6 1/3 innings of work.

First pitch at Miller Park is at 5:10 PDT. Join us in the game thread later and see how Cashner fares against the surging Brewers.

Brewers win series opener against Padres 4-3

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Wily Peralta looked solid and the offense came up big against a tough starter in Andrew Cashner.

Winner: Wily Peralta

Loser: Andrew Cashner

SV: Francisco Rodriguez (8)

HR: Aramis Ramirez (3)

Boxscore

Until today Wily Peralta had never faced the Padres before. I learned that from Bill Schroeder on the broadcast. First time for everything indeed. Anyway, the Peralta was sharp in the first inning retiring the Padres in order with a strikeout, and two ground balls.

Andrew Cashner started off the bottom of the 1st inning by walking Carlos Gomez as we all knew he wouldn't!  Gomez then attempted to steal second base but wound up at third on a throwing error. Scooter Gennett grounded out but was unable to score Gomez. Ryan Braun was also unable to score on a grounder. Aramis Ramirez would fly out and the inning would end with Gomez standing at third base.

In the second inning Peralta struck out two batters before allowing a double to Yonder Alonso. It wouldn't matter as he got the next batter to hit a grounder back to him for the third out.

Jean Segura was able sneak a grounder past Cashner in the bottom of the second. He too would steal second. The throw was on target but the fielder dropped the ball. I think he was safe anyway, but with Cashner on the mound you'll take any help the Padres want to give. Just like the first time around, the Brewers were unable to drive the run in.

Peralta led off the third inning by hitting catcher Rene Rivera. Cashner bunted the runner over and would have reached base safely were it not for a nice stab by Scooter Gennett covering first. Up next was Everth Cabrera who would strike out for the second time. Peralta's pitch count was getting pretty high at this point so Will Venebal did him a solid by lining out on the second pitch of the at-bat.

Wily "I Was Originally an Outfielder" Peralta led off the bottom of the third inning with a line drive double. Gomez would advance the runner on a ground out, but it was unnecessary as Scooter Gennett followed that effort up with an RBI triple! Ryan Braun then drove him in on sac fly that I totally thought was home run off the bat. Aramis Ramirez then hit what I totally thought was a home run off the bat. That one did go out and the Brewers quickly found themselves with a 3-0 lead.

Seth Smith led off the fourth with a single and then Peralta issued a walk to Chase Headley. Jedd Gyorko scared the crap out of me when he hit a long loud out to center. Thankfully Smith misread the ball, didn't tag up, and had to stay put at second base. Gomez almost doubled him up with his throw to the infield. However Smith would come around to score on a single from Yonder Alonso. Chris Denorfia grounded out to shortstop and it looked like Gennett was going to be able to turn a double play. Unfortunately as Alonso slid into second his arm came up and made contact with Gennett's throwing arm. This allowed Headley to score. Gennett was assessed an error as the umpires ruled it incidental contact. Had they ruled it interference the inning would have ended without the second run scoring. I'm not familiar with the rule, but it didn't look like Alonso did anything intentionally. The final out would be made by Mark Reynolds on a popout in front of the Brewers dugout. Martin Maldonado almost pushed his glove out of the way also trying to catch the ball. After the snafu in Pittsburgh with Reynolds and Ramirez, I'm thinking Reynolds needs to work on his communication.

Peralta pitched a quick, clean 1-2-3 fifth inning, which is exactly what he needed since his pitch count was nearing 70. After yesterday's 14-inning marathon the Brewers really needed a deep start from Peralta.

In the bottom of the fifth Gomez laced a grounder down the third-base line for a double. Because Ron Roenicke is Ron Roenicke, he had Gennett lay down a bunt with 2 strikes. This time it worked and Gomez advanced the third base. Once again Braun would drive in the runner, this time on a single. He would get caught stealing almost immediately. I can't blame him for going though, they'd been pretty successful earlier in the game. Ramirez would ground out to end the inning.

Wily Peralta was going good in the top of the sixth. Seth Smith hit a long fly out and Chase Headley struck out. Gyorko hit a line drive single but it wouldn't matter as Yonder Alonso popped up. Peralta ended the inning having thrown 79 pitches, leaving him in good shape.

Nothing much happened in the bottom of the 6th for the Brewers offense, but Elian Herrera did get his first hit of the season.

The Padres would get a run back right away in the 7th as Denorfia hit a lead of home run. Nick Hundley, pinch hitting for Rivera, hit a double and it looked like the end was near for Wily Peralta. Tommy Medica pinch hit for Cashner and was able to reach on a wide throw from Jean Segura. It would have been close, but I think a perfect throw gets him. The runner did not advance on that play, but Everth Cabrera would advance them both on a sacrifice bunt. Will Smith would then take the mound in relief to face lefty Will Venable. The Padres would counter with Xavier Nady who drew a walk to load the bases. Thankfully Seth Smith would pop up for the second out and Chase Headley would strike out on 3 pitches to end the inning.

Lyle Overbay hit for the pitcher and lined a single. For some reason Gomez decided to attempt a bunt but hilariously bunted it way far and it was an easy out for the first baseman. Gennett then hit a single. Overbay successfully took the extra base and Gennett reached second on the throw. With first base open the Padres elected to walk Ryan Braun in hopes that Ramirez would hit into a double play. Ramirez obliged them...I still say it's a stupid call.

Tyler Thornburg came on for the 8th. He got Jedd Gyorko to ground out, but give a big assist to Scooter Gennett for making a great stab and throw to get the out. It was a tough play. Yonder Alonso would pop out on the first pitch and Thornburg quickly had 2 outs on 3 pitches. However Chris Denorfia was able to draw a walk and after getting Hundley to popup Thornburg would end the inning with 15 pitches. I thought maybe he'd be able to go out for a second inning after the second out, but it wasn't meant to be.

In the bottom half of the 8th Jean Segura was able to get his second hit of the night on a line drive. Elian Herrera would sneak a ground ball passed the second baseman and Segura would advance to third. With one out and runners at the corners Martin Maldonado was forced by Roenicke to bunt for a squeeze play. The first two bunts went foul but it wouldn't matter because Elian Herrera was caught stealing and then on the same play Jean Segura was caught in a run down. It was ugly. The Brewers would go to the 9th with a 4-3 lead.

Even though closers aren't things, Roenicke decided it was a good idea to put Francisco Rodriguez on the mound for the 4 game in a row. That made 5 appearances in the last 6 days. The first batter grounded out and then Everth Cabrera reached on a grounder. Yasmani Grandal came in to pinch hit for Nady. K-Rod got him to strikeout. Seth Smith flew out to shallow right to end the game. All said and done K-Rod threw 14 pitches. Hopefully his arm will be okay as 4 games in a row a lot to ask.

The Brewers win 4-3 and improve their season record to 15-5. Tomorrow will see Yovani Gallardo taking on Ian Kennedy. First pitch is at 7:10 pm CT.

Padres lose to Brewers 4-3 to begin 10 game road trip

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The Friars go down in defeat by the same score as the previous game.

One down and nine to go. The Padres began their 10 game road trip with a loss versus the Milwaukee Brewers. Andrew Cashner came into the game on a hot streak. Four straight quality starts that included 2 wins and a one hitter. He had yet to allow more than two runs in a single outing. He had only allowed four runs all year. He had not allowed four in a single game since August 2013. That all changed today against the hot bats of the Brewers.

Cashner worked in and out of trouble in both the first and second innings. A leadoff walk to the controversial Carlos Gomez resulted in a runner-on-third-no-outs situation when an errant throw on a stolen base attempt advanced Gomez. The next three would go down in order to avert the danger. In the second a one single by Jean Segura followed by a stolen base had the Brewers threatening again. Cashner retired the next two to keep the game scoreless. However, in the third no such tight wire act was able to be walked. The pitcher, Wily Peralta, doubled and then scored on a Scooter Gennett triple. Then Gennett would score on a Ryan Braun sac fly that Will Venable made a great play on at the wall. Aramis Ramirez finished off the 3 run rally with a home run to CF.

The Padres bats were held in check for the first three innings by Peralta, but answered the Brewers 3 runs with 2 of their own in the fourth inning. After a Seth Smith single and a Chase Headley walk, Yonder Alonso swatted his second hit of the day to drive in Smith. Then Denorfia hit what looked to be a routine 6-4-3 double play, but as Alonso slid into second base his arm got in the way of the throw. The ball got away and Headley came around to score. Alonso hobbled off the field, but would stay in the game.

Cashner did not let the Brewers counter in the 4th, but the 5th yielded that run number 4 that I alluded to in the opening paragraph. Gomez led off another inning by getting on base. This time he slugged a double. Ryan Braun would drive him in later with a 1 out RBI single after a sacrifice bunt by Gennett. Cashner would go one more inning to finish with 6 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 4 Ks.

The Padres would an answer again to a Brewers score. Chris Denorfia would lead off the 7th with an oppo-job solo shot to RF. The team looked like it was going to tally more after that when the bases were loaded for both Seth Smith and Chase Headley. Smith flied out without bringing home a run and Headley struck out to increase his franchise lead in that category.

That would be the last real threat for the Friars. The Brewers would try to tack on with their own bases loaded situation in the bottom of the 7th, but Dale Thayer induced a double play from Aramis Ramirez. Things also looked dangerous in the 8th when the Brew Crew had Segura on 3rd and Elian Herrara at 1st with one out. They would again leave the inning empty handed when a strange a play where Hundley had a ball get away, Herrara would try for second and get caught stealing and Segura would proceed to get picked off 3rd base. So the game maintained its one run differential, but that would be all Milwaukee closer Francisco "KRod" Rodriguez would need to close it out.

That is two losses in a row with me doing the recaps. Let's hand this job off to someone else tomorrow and get a W.

Roll Call Info
Total comments250
Total commenters17
Commenter listAll Things SD, Conor42, Darklighter, Drama, EvilSammy, Friar Fever, FunkFootball, SD_Hat_Guy, TheThinGwynn, Wonko, backtocali, chris.callahan.7777, daveysapien, del4rel, jodes0405, walkoff59, wegotballsley
Story URLs
#Commenter# Comments
1SD_Hat_Guy52
2Conor4239
3jodes040531
4Darklighter21
5TheThinGwynn19
6walkoff5918
7daveysapien16
8wegotballsley15
9All Things SD10
10chris.callahan.77779
11FunkFootball6
12Friar Fever4
13Wonko4
14backtocali2
15del4rel2
16EvilSammy1
17Drama1
# RecsCommenterComment Link
2jodes0405[no title]
1daveysapienwait, we weren't the ones at bat during that bases-loaded double play?
1DarklighterSeriously, let's set that to Yakety Sax.
1TheThinGwynnI love me some pretzels
1EvilSammyThe air smells like .500.
1SD_Hat_GuyOh boy.
1SD_Hat_GuyRivera in the Groupon spot tonight, as expected.

What we learned: April 22, 2014

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Today's lessons include the Brewers-Pirates fight, a bullpen addition, the second base platoon, and revisiting some first base trade rumors.

Yesterday's Results

Brewers 4, Padres 3

The Brewers struck early last night, putting up three runs on a Scooter Gennett RBI triple, a Ryan Braun sacrifice fly, and an Aramis Ramirez solo home run. The Padres responded with two in the fourth, and the Brewers added a little insurance with a Ryan Braun RBI single in the fifth. Chris Denorfia of the Padres hit a solo home run to close the gap, but the Padres wouldn't get closer as the bullpen shut them down.  Wily Peralta pitched 6 1/3 innings and allowed six hits and three runs (two earned) in the win, and Francisco Rodriguez recorded his fourth consecutive save.

Fallout from the Brewers-Pirates fight continues.

A day later, more quotes and opinions kept coming out on the fight from Sunday's game. There was more than enough out there to write one of these posts with just those links by themselves. You can see just some of the coverage from around the web in the Cram Session section below.  Yesterday, here on BCB, Derek Harvey wrote his opinion on the whole situation. He recaps what happened and talks about what is fair to say and what isn't in the aftermath of the fight. He also tackles the idea that players need to "respect the game". There's more than enough here and around the web to keep you talking about this subject for at least a few days.

Alfredo Figaro joined the roster to solidify a tired bullpen.

Also in the aftermath of yesterday's game, the Brewers found themselves with a tired bullpen. To help fix the situation, they optioned Rob Wooten back to Triple-A Nashville, and recalled Alfredo Figaro. In terms of talent, the move seems like a lateral move at best, so it appears to be more about having depth available. Entering last night's game, the bullpen had been overworked, and while they got some rest last night, certain pitchers were still needed. Francisco Rodriguez has now pitched in four straight games, and Tyler Thornburg and Jim Henderson have each pitched in three of the last four.  An off day is coming on Thursday, and more help is on the horizon as Brandon Kintzler should return for the weekend series. So far, the bullpen has been up to the task of keeping the Brewers in games, but too much work could cause problems later in the season.

Rickie Weeks is running out of time to prove that he can contribute.

While Rickie Weeks has not had much playing time this season, what he has done so far has not inspired much confidence. However, there is a legitimate question of how much time he should get before changes should be considered. Yesterday, Jordan Mader tackled this question and asked if a change to Jeff Bianchi in the platoon is warranted. Jordan argues that it's not time to make a change yet, and that a change to Bianchi is not necessarily better. However, if Weeks continues to struggle, at some point the change may need to come anyway.

The Brewers made the right decision to not trade for Ike Davis.

Over the offseason, the Brewers were continuously noted to be in trade talks for the Mets first baseman Ike Davis. These rumors were up and down all winter, and the Brewers eventually passed on Davis for a platoon of Mark Reynolds and Lyle Overbay (that has turned into Reynolds starting with Overbay getting some time as a backup). Over the weekend, the Pirates traded for Ike Davis to bolster their position at first base. In the aftermath of that trade, Noah looked back at the rumors and asked if the Brewers made the right decision to not trade for Davis. He looked at the prospects that the Pirates received in returned, and revisited what the Brewers were rumored to need to trade. He concludes that any value gained from Davis would have been lost in what they traded away.

Cram Session

The Brewers-Pirates Brawl

Power Rankings

Brewers vs. Padres

Other Notes

Miller Park

Minor League Update

TeamLevelRecordYesterdayToday
Nashville SoundsAAA9-9Nashville 7, Omaha 0Nashville @ Omaha
Huntsville StarsAA11-7Mobile 2, Huntsville 1Mobile @ Huntsville
Brevard County ManateesA+10-7Tampa 2, Brevard County 1Brevard County @ Tampa
Wisconsin Timber RattlersA9-7Burlington 5, Wisconsin 1Wisconsin @ Burlington

News & Notes

Check out morineko's daily minor league update for a more in-depth look at yesterday's minor league results.

Division Update

TeamWLGB
Brewers155-
Cardinals1194
Pirates9116
Reds8116.5
Cubs6128
  • Pirates 6, Reds 5: The Reds took a lead in the top of the eighth, but Andrew McCutchen tied it in the bottom of the eighth, and Neil Walker hit an RBI single in the bottom of the ninth to give the Pirates the win.
  • Mets 2, Cardinals 0: Mets pitcher Jenrry Mejia pitched 6 2/3 innings and David Wright extended his hitting streak to 12 games as the Mets shut out the Cardinals.
  • Cubs 5, Diamondbacks 1: Travis Wood pitched seven innings of one-run baseball with nine strikeouts, and also provided most of the Cubs offense with a three-run home run in the second inning.

Today's Games

  • Reds (Johnny Cueto) @ Pirates (Edinson Volquez) - 6:05 pm
  • Cardinals (Adam Wainwright) @ Mets (Dillon Gee) - 6:10 pm
  • Diamondbacks (Brandon McCarthy) @ Cubs (Jason Hammel) - 7:05 pm

Today's Action

The Brewers continue their series against the San Diego Padres tonight.  Game two will feature Yovani Gallardo (2-0, 1.46 ERA, 2.92 FIP) for the Brewers and Ian Kennedy (1-3, 4.13 ERA, 2.33 FIP) for the Padres.  First pitch is at 7:10 pm, and Corey Brock has the MLB.com preview.

Red Reposter - Lutz, Mesoraco, & Unwritten Rules

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Perusing the headlines for Reds news, baseball views, and funnies.

As the Weezard of Oz noted in today's Farmer's Only, Donald Lutz went nuts with a 5 for 6 evening that included him hitting for the cycle for the 3rd time in his Minor League career.  The Pensacola News Journal had the recap of the game - which was a franchise record for something they don't identify - and Kelsie Heneghan caught up with Lutz and a few of his Blue Wahoos teammates for some of their thoughts for MiLB.com.  After the awful year most every single significant prospect had in the Cincinnati Reds' minor league system in 2013, it's great to see that some of the bigger names are having such hot starts to the season.

Want to watch Lutz crush off the Jacksonville putz?  Do it!

The Reds have managed to keep themselves reasonably effective despite the laundry list of early season injuries (they're just 2.5 games out of a playoff position, for peteyhendrix's sake), and it seems that reinforcements are inching closer to returning.  Mark Sheldon notes in his notebook for Reds.com that both Aroldis Chapman and Skip Schumaker are just about ready to head out on rehab assignments, and while Skip isn't really projected as a game-changer to a lineup that seems to be clicking, Chapman's return to the bullpen will undoubtedly provide a huge shot in the arm.  The Reds are 2-7 in games decided by a single run, and they've also lost 6-3 once on a walk-off grand slam (when pitching with a 3-2 lead in the 9th), and there's no denying that it's been the bullpen that has been the primary culprit of late.  The offense struggled early, but is now clicking; the starting pitching has been rock solid throughout; getting the most electric arm in baseball back as an anchor could be just what this team needs to get rolling.

Devin Mesoraco has been the best hitter in baseball since his return from an oblique-induced DL stint roughly a week and a half ago, and as John Fay notes, Mes has never been this hot.  Ever. Despite the fact that the rest of the baseball world has somehow yet to take notice (and, if you're bored, type Devin Mesoraco into Google, click the News tab, and see if you can find anyone outside of South Central Ohio who has written about his start), the catcher the Reds have pinned their hopes to has continued right on raking.  While I'm pretty comfortable saying that his .607 BABIP and 306 OPS+ aren't sustainable, this is the type of offensive explosion that may build enough confidence for a full-season breakout that - even at a fraction of the current levels of production - would be just the kind of IMPACT BAT THE REDS NEED.  There, I said it.  Again.  You knew it was coming.

Over at the mothership, Grant Brisbee took a look at the fracas we discussed ad nauseam in the comments section of one of our 83 threads:  Carlos Gomez, the Pittsburgh Pirates, and the breaking of baseball's Unwritten Rules.  It is, as you might expect, well worth the read.  Also of note at home base is this interview between Josh Reddick of the Oakland Athletics and MLB Network.  You may be one of many folks who never cared about wrestling (or, like me, who cared for a few years back when interest rates were near 20% and there was a 12 ft tall concrete wall running down the middle of a major German city), but that's still damn funny and a damn fine tribute.

Speaking of the Brewers-Pirates brawl, MLB still hasn't announced their rulings on the issue because of course they haven't announced their rulings on the issue.  There are billions of camera angles available in every park that allow for instant - INSTANT - replay at the drop of a hat, but a fight between 50 people that has been replayed and replayed and replayed hasn't been sorted out after two days.  Apparently the issue arose because the umpiring crew that was in charge of the game had a plane to catch after Sunday's affair and therefore couldn't submit their report to MLB until yesterday, and so the Office of the Commissioner won't announce any fines/suspensions until some point today.  Meaning, of course, that what BubbaFan suggested will likely come true:  each Pirate involved will be able to participate in the Reds series while they await their appeal results only to find out they're suspended for the Pirates next series, which just so happens to be against the freaking St. Louis Cardinals.  Lovely.

Overflow Thread 1: Cubs vs. Brewers, Saturday 4/26, 6:10 CT


Ryan Braun hits Jean Segura with bat in dugout

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All-star slugger Ryan Braun accidentally wallops his teammate Jean Segura while practicing his swing.

Pictures may say a thousand words, but the only one that comes to mind when looking at this GIF of Ryan Braunaccidentally hitting his teammate Jean Segura in the face with a baseball bat is "Ouch."

Segura_medium

While the damage to Segura doesn't appear too severe, according to Brewers pitching coach Rick Kranitz on the FS Wisconsin telecast and Brewers beat writer Tom Haudricourt on Twitter, the shortstop has a "pretty good gash over his eye." Although Segura hasn't exactly been dominant himself, any time missed by the shortstop may have an adverse effect on what's been a dominant Brewers squad so far this season.

Hopefully, however, everyone on the Brewers will have finally learned why their mothers were always yelling at them to "watch where you're swinging that thing!"

Overflow Thread 2: Cubs vs. Brewers, Saturday 4/26, 6:10 CT

Overflow Thread 3: Cubs vs. Brewers, Saturday 4/26, 6:10 CT

Jeff Bianchi & Marco Estrada step up as Brewers defeat Cubs 5-3

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Jeff Bianchi has two RBI filling in for Jean Segura, and Marco Estrada pitches 7 2/3 innings in the win.

WP: Marco Estrada (2-1)
LP: Travis Wood (1-3)
SV: Francisco Rodriguez (11)

HR: Khris Davis (3), Luis Valbuena (1), Wellington Castillo (4)

MVP: Marco Estrada (+.191)
LVP: Ryan Braun (-.054)

Box Score

Win Expectancy Graph

Jeff Bianchi wasn't in the lineup at the start of the game.  He ended up having the biggest contribution on offense tonight.

In the top of the first inning, Jeff Bianchi came in to pinch hit for Jean Segura.  Word came out shortly after that he had walked into Ryan Braun's bat as Braun was stretching.  Bianchi made the most of his time in the lineup, going 2-for-4 with two RBI in the game.  Khris Davis also chipped in with two hits, one of those a solo home run, and Mark Reynolds also had two hits in the game.  In total for the game, the Brewers had five runs and eight hits.

It backed another quality start for Marco Estrada, his fourth in five games.  He made his longest start of his career, pitching 7 2/3 innings and striking out nine batters with no walks.  He only allowed four hits in the game, but two of those were home runs that resulted in three runs allowed.

The bullpen finished off the game, with Will Smith pitching a perfect 1/3 inning and Francisco Rodriguez recording his eleventh save with a perfect inning.  His save set a record for saves in April (previously held by Francisco Cordero with 10 saves), and moving Rodriguez to 18th on the MLB list for career saves.

It wasn't all good news for the Brewers after the game.  Jean Segura ended up going to the hospital for stiches, but should be fine.  He didn't have a fracture or concussion from the hit.  Also, Ryan Braun came out of the game in the ninth inning with a reported intercostal strain.  Both are considered day-to-day for now.

The Brewers conclude their homestand tomorrow afternoon as they try to sweep the Cubs.  Jason Hammel will start for the Cubs, and Wily Peralta starts for the Brewers.  First pitch is at 1:10 pm.

Cubs Minor League Wrap: April 26

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Two Cubs farm teams played 13 innings today. The Cougars rallied for a big win and Daytona claimed their third straight.

Iowa Cubs

The Iowa Cubs outlasted the Colorado Springs Sky Sox (Rockies), 9-6 in 13 innings.

Starting pitcher Kyle Hendricks pitched six innings and allowed four runs on ten hits. Hendricks walked two, one intentional, and struck out four.

Jeffry Antiguawas pretty darn good in his first appearance of the season. Antigua entered the game in the top of the ninth and stayed in to pitch four innings of scoreless relief, allowing three hits and a walk.  Antigua struck out three as he got his first win of the year in his first game.

Blake Parker pitched the bottom of the thirteenth and got his second save. He gave up a leadoff single, but then retired the next three batters to close out the game. It was his second save of the season and the 43rd in his Iowa Cubs career, extending his team record.

Second baseman Arismendy Alcantara was Iowa's big hero today. Not only did he have an RBI single with two out in the top of the ninth to tie the score and send the game to extras, he had an RBI triple in the 13th inning that gave Iowa an insurance run. Alcantara went 5 for 7 with three RBI. He scored once.

Right fielder Jonathan Mota was 3 for 6 with a two-run home run in the third inning. Mota also walked once and he scored three times.

First baseman Chris Valaika hit a solo home run in the third inning, his second of the season. Valaika went 3 for 7 with two RBI.

Catcher Eli Whiteside hit his first home run of the season with the bases empty in the sixth. Whiteside was 1 for 6.

Center fielder Logan Watkins was 1 for 4 with two walks, extending his hitting streak to 12 games.

Tennessee Smokies

The Tennessee Smokies lost to the Huntsville Stars (Brewers), 4-3 in 13 innings as well.

Jake Arrieta finished his rehab assignment with a two-inning start. He allowed two runs, one earned, on two hits. He walked one and struck out two.

Dae-Eun Rhee was the real starter of this game, entering in the third inning and pitching seven innings, allowing one run on three hits. He walked three and struck out four.

Ryan Searle bounced back from his last two disastrous outings with three scoreless frames. But P.J. Francescon relieved Searle to start the 13th inning and he took the loss when he allowed a one-out home run to Nick Ramirez. Francescon would allow one more hit in the inning for two total hits. Francescon did not walk anyone and he struck out two.

Third baseman Kris Bryant hit a solo home run in the sixth inning, his fifth blast of the season. Bryant was 2 for 6 and extended his hitting streak to nine games.

Shortstop Jeudy Valdez hit a home run, also with the bases empty, in the fifth inning. It was his second home run this year. Valdez went 3 for 5 with a double and a walk.

Rubi Silva was 2 for 5 with the other RBI in this game. Second baseman Wes Darvill was 2 for 6.

Daytona Cubs

The Daytona Cubs won their third game in a row over the Brevard County Manatees (Brewers), 2-0.

Jose Rosario got his second win with six innings of work, allowing five hits. Rosario walked three and struck out six.

Austin Reed pitched two innings, allowing only one hit. Andrew McKirahan threw a perfect ninth inning for his first save. He did not have a strikeout.

Both Iowa runs scored on a triple by DH Tim Saunders in the fourth inning. Saunders went 1 for 3 with a walk and a stolen base.

Left fielder Rock Shoulders was 2 for 4 with a double. Catcher Chadd Krist was 2 for 4. Both of them scored on Saunders' triple.

Right fielder Bijan Rademacher was 2 for 4.

Kane County Cougars

The Kane County Cougars scored four runs in the bottom of the ninth to stun the Wisconsin Timber Rattlers (Brewers), 5-4.

Starter Duane Underwood pitched 3.2 innings and allowed four runs on five hits. One of the runs was unearned. Underwood struck out three and walked three.

I've got to give Gerardo Concepcion some credit. He pitched 4.1 innings in relief and didn't allow a run.

Nathan Dorris pitched the top of the ninth and got the win as the beneficiary of the Cougars rally. Dorris walked one and struck out two, but did not allow a hit.

The killing blow in this game was when right fielder Yasiel Balaguert came to the plate in the bottom of the ninth with two outs, the bases loaded and Kane County trailing 4-3. Balaguert delivered with a two-run walkoff single. Balaguert was 1 for 5.

DH Jordan Hankins went 2 for 4 with a walk and a run scored.

Minor League Notes, 2014-04-27

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Josh Prince and the case of the stolen base and more

Nashville Sounds (AAA) 11-11
Won 6-3 at Oklahoma City RedHawks (HOU) (box / pbp)

Huntsville Stars (AA) 15-8
Won 4-3 (13 inn.) at Tennessee Smokies (CHC) (box / pbp)

Brevard County Manatees (High A) 11-11
Lost 2-0 at Daytona Cubs (CHC) (box / pbp)

Wisconsin Timber Rattlers (Low A) 10-11
Lost 5-4 at Kane County Cougars (CHC) (box / pbp)

Player/Pitcher Points of Interest

BatterTeamPosABRHRBIBBSOEAVGNotes
Irving FaluNashville2B5120000.2542B
Sean HaltonNashvilleLF3221110.239HR
Hunter MorrisNashville1B3100100.267
Eugenio VelezNashvilleDH4122100.403SB, HR
Mitch HanigerHuntsvilleRF-CF0000100.195
Josh PrinceHuntsvilleLF6130010.200SB (4)
D'Vontrey RichardsonHuntsvilleCF6000020.246
Jason RogersHuntsville3B6001020.242
Orlando ArciaBrevard County2B4020000.234
Michael ReedBrevard CountyCF3020100.2422B
Yadiel RiveraBrevard CountySS3000020.192
Victor RoacheBrevard CountyLF4000010.171
Clint CoulterWisconsinDH4020000.323
Omar GarciaWisconsinCF4010010.186SB
Rafael NedaWisconsinC4022000.290
Michael RatterreeWisconsinRF5110010.227
PitcherTeamIPHRERBBSOHRERADecNotes
Michael BlazekNashville0.11000007.59
Donovan HandNashville0.2000020.3.95
Brad MillsNashville5.28330212.95W, 2-0
Drew GagnonHuntsville6.07331323.03
David GoforthHuntsville1.01000002.92
Kevin ShackelfordHuntsville2.02000101.93
Damien MagnificoBrevard County5.07221203.46L, 1-2
Taylor WilliamsWisconsin6.01001603.27HBP

Brewers 5, Cubs 3: A Recap In Haiku

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The Cubs lost again, so an alternate recap is the order of the day.

The Cubs lost again
Gather round and I will tell
The tale of the game

The score: 5 to 3
Friday's ended 5 to 2
Sunday: 5 to 4?

In the first inning
Segura got hit by Braun
He will be OK

Brewers scored off Wood
Three times in the first three frames
Game over? Almost.

Meanwhile, Cubs don't hit
Until the fourth inning when
Valbuena homers

Attention, Mike Olt!
Why did you throw to second
Instead of the plate?

The Cubs had four hits
A second home run hit was
Not enough to win

Wood did not have it
And needed help from Schlitter
And Pedro Strop, too

Fourth loss in a row
Not the worst team in baseball!
Thank you, Diamondbacks

WGN
Plays its music way too loud
Can't hear Len, JD

They'll try it again
Sunday; Hammel on the mound
Against Peralta

Today's game preview
Will post here at BCB
11 CT

Writing these is fun
To be honest? I'd rather
Not do any more.


The Brewers and a list of strange injuries

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The Brewers have had their share of strange injuries. Here's a quick timeline of those.

Saturday's injury to Jean Segura is just one of many strange injuries that have happens to the Brewers in the last several years. What have the Brewers dealt with over those years? Here's a list of some of the stranger injuries that the Brewers have dealt with. (Thanks to the postgame comments from yesterday for some suggestions.)

  • Spring Training 1986: A gas explosion in the Brewers new spring training clubhouse injured several players and coaches. While no one was killed from the incident, a few people were in serious condition after the explosion. The Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel looked back on the incident a few years ago.
  • Spring Training 1994: Pitcher Steve Sparks attempts to tear a phone book in half during spring training. He ends up dislocating him shoulder and misses time due to it, preventing him from making the team out of spring training.
  • July 9, 2003: During the sausage race, Randall Simon of the Pittsburgh Pirates swings a bat at the head of the Italian racing sausage, knocking the Italian and Hot Dog down. Simon was arrested for assault but the charges were later dropped. He returned to Miller Park as a member of the Cubs later that year and bought sausages for a section of the park.
  • June 25, 2006: Matt Wise is day-to-day for a few days after an injury in Kansas City.  He cut his middle finger on a pair of salad tongs.  He missed a few days while he recovered, and returned to action four days later.
  • August 3, 2009: Corey Hart is placed on the DL following an appendectomy. He had thought he had eaten some bad food, but when stomach pains didn't go away, he went to the hospital and ended up having his appendix removed. He missed just over a month as he recovered from the procedure.
  • March 30, 2010: Jeff Suppan starts the season on the DL with a sore neck.  While this injury isn't significant by itself, during his rehab it was reported that his recovery was hindered when he used a rolled-up towel as a pillow because the pillows in his condo were not comfortable. Suppan missed the first two weeks of the season and returned in mid-April.
  • March 9, 2011: Zack Greinke was shut down in spring training due to a fractured rib. He injured the rib in a game of pickup basketball in the first week of spring training. Greinke missed the first month of the season with the injury and made his debut in the first week of May.
  • August 10, 2011: Chris Narveson is placed on the DL with a left thumb laceration. He cut his thumb while trying to repair his baseball glove with scissors. The thumb required stiches, but he only missed about two starts and a minimum 15-day DL trip.
  • May 1, 2012: Mat Gamel tears his ACL on an attempt to catch a foul ball. His foot was caught under padding causing his knee to twist in an odd direction. He missed the rest of 2012 because of the injury, then all of 2013 when he re-tore the same ACL.  He was signed by the Braves in spring training 2014 but was released after he injured his knee in workouts.
  • May 29, 2012: Jonathan Lucroy is placed on the DL with a broken right hand. The injury came when a suitcase was dropped on his hand accidentally by his wife. He ended up missing two months and a total of 50 games.
  • January 2013: Corey Hart has right knee surgery in the offseason. He is expected to return a month or so into the season, but his recovery continues to hit setbacks. Eventually, he needs surgery on his left knee and misses all of 2013.
  • March 6, 2013: GM Doug Melvin ends up in the emergency room after being stung by a scorpion that he tried to get rid of in his Arizona condo. He was treated at the hospital and monitored for several hours, but returned to work the next morning.
  • March 12, 2014: Reports come out that Francisco Rodriguez's spring debut will be delayed due to a foot injury. While walking barefoot in the backyard of the house he was staying at in Arizona, he stepped on a cactus and several spines lodged into his foot. His debut was pushed back a few days and trainers were pulling spines out of his foot for a few weeks afterwards.
  • April 26, 2014: While walking in the dugout, Jean Segura walks into Ryan Braun's bat as he is stretching before his at-bat. Segura was helped into the dugout and taken to the hospital, where he needed stitches. He is currently day-to-day, and it is believed that he will not need a DL trip.

Are there any more strange injuries that you recall happening to the Brewers?  Talk about them in the comments below.

Cubs, Brewers Conclude Weekend Series

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Sunday's game threads are all right here.

Cubs lineup:

Bonifacio CF, Castro SS, Ruggiano RF, Rizzo 1B, Lake LF, Olt 3B, Barney 2B, Baker C, Hammel P

Brewers lineup:

Bonifacio CF, Castro SS, Ruggiano RF, Rizzo 1B, Lake LF, Olt 3B, Barney 2B, Baker C, Hammel P

Today's game is on WGN.

Here is the complete MLB.com Mediacenter for today.

MLB.com Gameday

Baseball-reference.com game preview

SB Nation game preview

Please visit our SB Nation Brewers site Brew Crew Ball. As always, be careful over there.

For 2014, we are going to have the same game-thread routine as 2013. Here's how it works.

You'll find the game preview -- like this one -- posting as the first link in the StoryStream™, which will then contain all the overflow threads and the recap. The recap will also be on the front page as a separate post; once I post a game recap, the stream for each game will be retitled "Cubs vs. (Team) (Day of Week) Game Threads" so you can go back and find every thread related to that particular game.

In general, game previews will post two hours before game time. Exception: for day games after night games, that will usually be 90 minutes.

You will also be able to find the First Pitch Thread and all the overflow threads in the box marked "Chicago Cubs Game Threads" at the bottom of the front page (you can also find them in this section link). They will also appear in this StoryStream™. As I've done for each regular-season game for several years now, we'll have the First Pitch thread at five minutes before game time (moved up from actual game time per your requests), then an overflow one hour, two hours and 2:45 after game time.

Discuss amongst yourselves.

Cubs vs. Brewers Preview, Sunday 4/27, 1:10 CT

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The Cubs hope to avoid a sweep at the hands of the Brew Crew.

In all of Cubs history, just five teams in a non-labor-dispute season have gotten off to worse 23-game starts than the 2014 Cubs (7-16). They are:

1944, 1962, 1997: 5-181966, 1983: 6-17

You will recognize the two 103-loss squads that hold the franchise record for defeats in a season (1962, 1966). The 1997 Cubs lost 94 games; the 1983 Cubs lost 91. The 1944 team had a hot September and finished just four games under .500. This year's team isn't going to do that.

I wish I had better news, but I don't. Onward to today's particulars.

Cubs lineup:

Kalish LF, Lake CF, Rizzo 1B, Castro SS, Schierholtz RF, Olt 3B, Baker C, Barney 2B, Hammel P

Brewers lineup:

Gomez CF, Gennett 2B, Lucroy C, Ramirez 3B, Davis LF, Overbay 1B, Bianchi SS, Herrera RF, Peralta P

Today's Starting Pitchers

Jason Hammel

Jason Hammel


Cubs

vs.Wily Peralta

Wily Peralta


Brewers

vs. Mil

--

vs. Cubs

Jason Hammel has never lost to the Brewers in four career starts, with a 2.88 ERA and 1.36 WHIP covering 25 innings. Current Brewers are hitting .246 (16-for-65) against him. Ryan Braun is 5-for-11. Hammel has made four good starts for the Cubs this year; keep this up and he'll wind up on a contender around July 31.

Wily Peralta has a career 3.07 ERA and 1.330 WHIP in five starts (29⅓ innings) against the Cubs. Anthony Rizzo has homered twice off him in 13 at-bats and Starlin Castro is 6-for-17 (.438) off Peralta with a home run. That's good, right? Here's hoping.

Today's game is on WGN.

Here is the complete MLB.com Mediacenter for today.

MLB.com Gameday

Baseball-reference.com game preview

SB Nation game preview

Please visit our SB Nation Brewers site Brew Crew Ball. As always, be careful over there.

For 2014, we are going to have the same game-thread routine as 2013. Here's how it works.

You'll find the game preview -- like this one -- posting as the first link in the StoryStream™, which will then contain all the overflow threads and the recap. The recap will also be on the front page as a separate post; once I post a game recap, the stream for each game will be retitled "Cubs vs. (Team) (Day of Week) Game Threads" so you can go back and find every thread related to that particular game.

In general, game previews will post two hours before game time. Exception: for day games after night games, that will usually be 90 minutes.

You will also be able to find the First Pitch Thread and all the overflow threads in the box marked "Chicago Cubs Game Threads" at the bottom of the front page (you can also find them in this section link). They will also appear in this StoryStream™. As I've done for each regular-season game for several years now, we'll have the First Pitch thread at five minutes before game time (moved up from actual game time per your requests), then an overflow one hour, two hours and 2:45 after game time.

Discuss amongst yourselves.

Overflow Thread 1: Cubs vs. Brewers, Sunday 4/27, 1:10 CT

Peralta solid but Brewers offense nonexistent as they drop series finale to Cubs 4-0.

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You can't win them all but it's Jason Hammel and the Cubs so it still hurts.

Winning Pitcher: Jason Hammel

Losing Pitcher: Wily Peralta

HR: Starlin Castro (3)

Boxscore

Wily Peratla came out strong to start the game retiring the side in order in the first, including 2 strikeouts. Unfortunately he wasn't as fine in the second inning. He allowed a lead off home run to Starlin Castro. He then allowed the next three base runners to reach safely. Darwin Barney would come to the plate with bases loaded and no outs. He would hit into a fielders choice getting the force out at third. If it weren't for a poor throw from Aramis Ramirez it looked like the Brewers would have gotten runner out at home too. The Cubs took an early 2-0 lead, but would score no more as Jason Hammel hit into an inning ending 5-4-3 double play.

Peralta ran into a bit more trouble in the sixth inning where he gave up back to back singles. After a ground out advanced the runners, a sac fly scored the Cubs' 3rd run of the game.

The Brewers, on the other hand, were letting Jason Hammel dominate them. They didn't have a hit against him until Carlos Gomez hit a double in the sixth inning. Scooter Gennett followed up with a walk and then they both advanced on an errant throw from Hammel as he was trying to catch Gomez off second base. With runners at second and third with one out Jonathan Lucroy would strike out. A lot of talk has been made of Aramis Ramirez's numbers with runners in scoring position. I'm of the opinion that those stats are pretty meaningless. As of the last week Ramiez had been struggling and this at-bat reflected that as he grounded out to end the inning.

The Cubs still had the 3-0 lead going into the seventh inning. They didn't score that inning and so Peralta was able to go 7 full innings. It wasn't a bad start and he gave the Brewers a chance to win. If nothing else his start helped further rest what was becoming an overused bullpen and that's a pretty good silver lining.

The Brewers non-offense also gave Brandon Kintzler a chance to get in a game as he pitched the 8th inning. Unfortunately for him Starlin Castro decided to have a good day and hit another home run. Other than that Kinztler looked okay. He didn't allow another hit and got a fly out, ground out, and strikeout.

Rickie Weeks lead off the eighth inning with a single, but that was it. Down by four runs, Ron Roenicke allowed Wei-Chung Wang to make his third appearance of the year. Wang responded with a strikeout, fly out, and a ground out. It was against the bottom of the Cubs lineup, but still a nice outing.

All three Brewers batters struck out in the ninth inning to put an exclamation point on what might have been their worst offensive game of the year. The Cubs won 4-0 and the Brewers season record drops to a STILL MAJOR LEAGUE LEADING 18-7.

The Brewers travel to St. Louis to face the Cardinals tomorrow. Game time is 7:15 pm CT. Yovani Gallardo takes on Michael Wacha so it's probably going to be another tough game.

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