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BCB Community Prospect Rankings: Vote for #15

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Who is the #15 prospect in the Brewers organization?

In our closest vote yet, Jason Rogers won the #14 spot in our community's ranking of the top prospects in the Brewers organization by one vote. Here's where we stand today:

  1. Jimmy Nelson (57% of the vote)
  2. Tyrone Taylor (65% of the vote)
  3. Victor Roache (40% of the vote)
  4. Mitch Haniger (39% of the vote)
  5. Orlando Arcia (34% of the vote)
  6. Devin Williams (37% of the vote)
  7. Johnny Hellweg (52% of the vote)
  8. Hunter Morris (24% of the vote)
  9. Taylor Jungmann (23% of the vote)
  10. David Goforth (33% of the vote)
  11. Clint Coulter (42% of the vote)
  12. Nick Delmonico (43% of the vote)
  13. Michael Reed (24% of the vote)
  14. Jason Rogers (26% of the vote)

Here are your choices for #15:

(For a full explanation of what we're doing here, check out the first post in the series.)

Jed Bradley, LHP
Age: 23
Top level reached in 2013: A+

2013 stats:

Brevard County (A+): 78.1 IP, 4.14 ERA, 1.532 WHIP, 39 BB (4.5 BB/9), 58 K (6.7 K/9)

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
FanGraphs13
Baseball America18
Miller Park Prospects23
Brewers Farm Report24
John Sickels/Minor League BallHonorable Mention

David Denson, 1B
Age: 18
Top level reached in 2013: Rookie (Arizona)

2013 stats:

Arizona (Rookie): 161 PA, .244/.385/.449, 6 HR, 2 SB, 2 CS, 29 BB, 45 K

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
Keith Law/ESPN11
None






Drew Gagnon, RHP
Age:
23
Top level reached in 2013: AA

2013 stats:

Huntsville (AA): 84 IP, 5.57 ERA, 1.619 WHIP, 42 BB (4.5 BB/9), 58 K (6.2 K/9)
Brevard County (A+): 45.1 IP, 5.16 ERA, 15 BB (3.0 BB/9), 50 K (9.9 K/9)

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
John Sickels/Minor League BallHonorable Mention
Baseball America25
Brewers Farm Report25
Miller Park Prospects25
None

Jorge Lopez, RHP
Age:
21
Top level reached in 2013: A

2013 stats:

Wisconsin (A): 117 IP, 5.23 ERA, 1.436 WHIP, 48 BB (3.7 BB/9), 92 K (7.1 K/9)

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
Miller Park Prospects16
Brewers Farm Report23
Baseball America24
John Sickels/Minor League BallHonorable Mention
Keith Law/ESPNHonorable Mention

Damien Magnifico, RHP
Age: 22
Top level reached in 2013: A+

2013 stats:

Brevard County (A+): 26.2 IP, 6.08 ERA, 1.838 WHIP, 17 BB (5.7 BB/9), 17 K (5.7 K/9)
Wisconsin (A): 54 IP, 3.83 ERA, 1.389 WHIP, 24 BB (4.0 BB/9), 46 K (7.7 K/9)

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
Baseball America14
FanGraphs14
Brewers Farm Report16
John Sickels/Minor League Ball20
Miller Park Prospects20

Tucker Neuhaus, SS/3B
Age: 18
Top level reached in 2013: Rookie (Arizona)

2013 stats:

Arizona (Rookie): 219 PA, .231/.311/.303, 0 HR, 6 SB, 3 CS, 23 BB, 56 K

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
Brewers Farm Report9
John Sickels/Minor League Ball11
FanGraphs11
Miller Park Prospects12
Baseball America14

Ariel Pena, RHP
Age:
24
Top level reached in 2013: AA

2013 stats:

Huntsville (AA): 142.1 IP, 3.73 ERA, 1.363 WHIP, 79 BB (5.0 BB/9), 131 K (8.3 K/9)

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
Grading on the Curve14
Miller Park Prospects14
Baseball America15
John Sickels/Minor League Ball17
Brewers Farm Report20

Yadiel Rivera, SS
Age: 21
Top level reached in 2013: A+

2013 stats:

Brevard County (A+): 524 PA, .241/.300/.314, 5 HR, 13 SB, 8 CS, 32 BB, 80 K

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
Baseball Prospectus10
Grading on the Curve12
Baseball America13
Miller Park Prospects19
John Sickels/Minor League BallHonorable Mention

Tyler Wagner, RHP
Age: 23
Top level reached in 2013: A

2013 stats:

Wisconsin (A): 148.2 IP, 3.21 ERA, 1.244 WHIP, 56 BB (3.4 BB/9), 116 K (7.0 K/9)

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
John Sickels/Minor League Ball13
Baseball America16
Brewers Farm Report17
Miller Park Prospects21
None

Taylor Williams, RHP
Age:
22
Top level reached in 2013: Rookie (Helena)

2013 stats:

Helena (Rookie): 42.1 IP, 4.25 ERA, 1.394 WHIP, 17 BB (3.6 BB/9), 42 K (8.9 K/9)

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
John Sickels/Minor League Ball12
Baseball America19
None
Poll
Who is the #15 prospect in the Brewers organization?

  39 votes |Results


Spring Training Game Preview and Thread #-25: Brewers (3-4) v A's (5-2)

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Hey, didn't we just see you guys?

Today is the Brewers' eighth game of the spring and their third matchup with Oakland, but the first time the two teams have met in Maryvale.

At 2:05 Central time this afternoon they'll send Yovani Gallardo (0.00 ERA this spring, 4.18/3.89 ERA/FIP in 2013) to the mound for his second start of the spring. Gallardo kept the Giants off the board in his debut on Friday, holding them to a single hit over two innings with no walks and one strikeout. Today he's likely to throw three innings in his home debut.

It's too early to start looking at the numbers for starting pitchers (actually, there may never be a good time for that), but Gallardo, Kyle Lohse and Wily Peralta have combined to pitch nine scoreless innings this spring. The other two likely members of the Opening Day rotation, Marco Estrada and Matt Garza, have a combined 10.50 ERA over three starts.

Gallardo faced the A's once during the regular season in 2013 and it didn't go well, as he allowed five runs on six hits over six innings. Two current A's have faced him ten times or more:

PAABH2B3BHRRBIBBSOBAOBPSLGOPS
Nick Punto13111000025.091.231.091.322
Brandon Moss11111010105.091.091.273.364
Total524690103616.196.288.239.528
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 3/5/2014.

He'll face 25-year-old righty Jarrod Parker (40.50 ERA this spring, 3.97/4.40 ERA/FIP in 2013) as he looks to bounce back from a rough spring debut. Parker faced the other half of the Giants' split squad on Friday and allowed six runs on five hits and a walk over just 1.1 innings, and also hit a batter.

Parker joined the A's in a December trade in 2011 and has made 61 starts for the team since, plus three postseason starts in the last two seasons. His fastball velocity dropped notably in 2013, though, losing almost a full tick on the radar gun. It still sits in the low 90's and he pairs it with a changeup and slider.

Parker has never faced the Brewers during the regular season.

Today's Brewers lineup is as follows:

Carlos Gomez CF
Scooter Gennett 2B
Ryan Braun RF
Mark Reynolds 1B
Juan Francisco 3B
Martin Maldonado C
Hunter Morris DH
Jason Rogers LF
Jeff Bianchi SS

After Gallardo, Jim Henderson (spring debut), Zach Duke, Hiram Burgos and Rob Wooten are also scheduled to pitch today.

The weather in Maryvale should be absolutely perfect for today's game. Expect a game-time temperature around 76 to climb up near 80 as the afternoon goes along, with no chance for rain and light winds.

Brewers back to .500 after 7-2 win over A's

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They took two of three from Oakland this spring.

W: Yovani Gallardo (1-0)
L: Jarrod Parker (0-1)

HR: Ryan Braun (2), Michael Taylor (1)

Gameday Box Score

Ryan Braun only played four innings today, but he powered the Brewers offense in the early going of a 7-2 win against Oakland.

Braun has still only been retired once this spring and went 2-for-2 today, connecting for the only two hits against A's starter Jarrod Parker, who otherwise kept the Brewers off the board for 3.1 innings. The second of those hits was a long home run to left, Braun's second of the spring.

Yovani Gallardo had a somewhat pedestrian performance today, allowing a single run on three hits over 2.2 innings. The run scored on a line drive homer for Oakland right fielder Michael Taylor. Stop me if you've heard this one before: Gallardo hit his pitch count early today and had to exit the game. He threw 49 pitches (29 strikes) while recording eight outs. He walked one while recording four strikeouts.

"It felt good. I worked on things I wanted to work on in my second start of the spring," Gallardo told FS Wisconsin in an in-game interview. "Overall, I threw the ball over the plate, which is the most important part."

Meanwhile, the big story today may have been the Cactus League debut of Brewers closer Jim Henderson, who sat out the first week of MLB games while he was reportedly working on a new pitch. He pitched a perfect fifth inning on just nine pitches.

Today's game also featured a bunch of potential candidates to play first base:

  • Mark Reynolds started at first base today, batted cleanup and went 0-for-1, but walked, was hit by a pitch and scored a run.
  • Juan Francisco played third base, batted fifth and singled in the fourth inning for his sixth hit of the spring. He also drew a walk in the game.
  • Hunter Morris started at DH, batted seventh and went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts.
  • Jason Rogers got the start in left field, batted eighth and had an RBI single in the fourth inning, giving the Brewers a 2-1 lead.
  • Sean Halton replaced Reynolds at first base in the sixth and grounded out and walked in his plate appearances.

Beyond Gallardo and Henderson, the other Brewers to pitch today were Zach Duke (1.1 scoreless), Rob Wooten (allowed a run but struck out the side in the sixth), Hiram Burgos (two scoreless) and Donovan Hand (struck out the side in a perfect ninth). The five Brewer pitchers combined for 13 strikeouts in the game.

2013 Brevard County Manatee Mitch Haniger replaced Braun in the lineup and continued his hot spring, connecting for two RBI hits and a walk. He's driven in five runs with his four hits this spring, not counting his homer in last week's intrasquad game.

Today's game was the final of three meetings between the Brewers and A's in 2014. The longest homestand of the spring continues tomorrow when the Brewers host the Rockies at 2:05. Kyle Lohse will face Jordan Lyles.

Player performance in a free agent year: an analysis

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Is the phenomenon of increased production in a player's free agent year real? Read the surprising conclusions here.

A number of high-profile players changed teams this offseason in free agency, headed by Robinson Cano, Jacoby Ellsbury and Shin-Soo Choo. When players sign big contracts like these, the obvious question is whether they can play well enough to deserve the big money thrown their way.

Using the ESPN Free Agent Tracker, I made a list of every free agent since after the 2006 season, using three criteria:

  1. Performance in year prior to free agency (Y-1)
  2. Performance in free agency year (Y)
  3. Performance in first year of new contract (Y+1)

I'll use a player near and dear to my heart, former Cub Aramis Ramirez, a player widely (and incorrectly) accused in Chicago of amassing stats when they didn't matter. Ramirez had two different free agent periods:

StatusYearAgefWAR
Y-12005273.2
Y2006283.9
Y+12007294.7
StatusYearAgefWAR
Y-12010320.1
Y2011333.3
Y+12012345.7

In his first free agency period, Ramirez had a FanGraphs WAR (fWAR) value of 3.2 in the year prior to his free agent year (Y-1). It improved to 3.9 in his walk year (Y) and improved to 4.7 in the year after he signed his new deal with the Cubs after the 2006 season (Y+1). A similar story played out after 2011, with the Brewers being the beneficiary in this case.

With this background, how well did free agents perform using this analysis? My pool of players covered seasons from 2006 to 2012 and looked only at players with significant deals, a pool of 90 position players and 66 pitchers, some of whom (like Ramirez) had two periods of free agency. This is how the players performed:

Position Players (n=90)
fWAR
Year Prior to Free Agency Year (Y-1)216.7
Free Agency Year (Y)261.1
First Year of New Contract (Y+1)178.7
Pitchers (n=66)
fWAR
Year Prior to Free Agency Year (Y-1)110.1
Free Agency Year (Y)131.5
First Year of New Contract (Y+1)94.6

I began questioning my methods immediately upon seeing these results, since I assumed the exact opposite would be the case. In the aggregate, both position players and pitchers improved production in their free agent year which subsequently decreased in the first year of their new contracts.

There are caveats. Most players have their peak productive years somewhere around ages 28-32, which is when most players enter free agency. It's very possible players are about to enter the decline phase of their careers as they sign free agent deals. This helps explain why younger talent like Evan Longoria, Freddie Freeman, Starlin Castro and Anthony Rizzo are locked up earlier in their careers—teams are willing to risk more money on upside potential than pay big money for past performance. Injuries can also occur, but they didn't appear to play a major role with the players I selected.

I was curious if really big contracts or tremendous drops in value overwhelmed the data—it wasn't the case:

Position PlayersHigher fWARLower fWAR
Y5735
Y+13063
PitchersHigher fWARLower fWAR
Y3730
Y+12244

The vast majority of players had fWAR improvements in their free agent year and fWAR declines in the first year of their new contracts. It's difficult to explain declines of this magnitude without considering the possibility that walk-year improvements are real.

My definitions could be too narrow—the best way to measure a player's contract is over its entire life. As well as Aramis Ramirez performed in 2012, injuries shortened his 2013 to 351 plate appearances. He'll turn 36 in June, is owed $30 million through 2015, and there's no guarantee he won't completely fall apart.

This isn't necessarily predictive for players like Brian McCann, Curtis Granderson or Matt Garza, and they're all in different places. McCann is quickly approaching that age where catchers become ex-catchers, Granderson will turn 33 and is coming off injuries and Garza is...well, he's Matt Garza, about to pitch for his fifth team and the man who didn't look at a contract offer from the Angels this past offseason because he was on vacation. The data suggests performance improvement in a player's free agency year may not persist after a new deal is signed. Every player is different, of course, but the odds don't appear to be in their favor.

All data courtesy of ESPN Free Agent Tracker and FanGraphs

Scott Lindholm is a web columnist for 670 The Score in Chicago. Follow him on Twitter at @ScottLindholm.

Thursday's Frosty Mug: Starting hot

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We're talking about Ryan Braun's early power and more in today's roundup of all things Brewers.

Some things to read while making good choices.

Day 20 of spring training 2014 opens with Ryan Braun as the top story, as he homered for the second time this spring in a 7-2 win over the A's on Wednesday. We've got the recap, if you missed it.

Braun has now been to the plate eight times in his first four spring training games, has reached base safely in seven of those appearances and leads the team with four runs scored. After the game he downplayed the significance of his hot start, though.

To be honest, I glanced over all that stuff about Braun and didn't think much of it until @akschaaf directed my attention back to this note in our Tweet of the Day:

That, certainly, is something to keep an eye on.

It's worth noting that Braun's transition from left to right field has happened pretty quietly and with minimal growing pains to this point. Justin Schultz of Reviewing the Brew says Braun deserves some credit for the way he's handled the move.

Yesterday also featured Yovani Gallardo's second start of the spring, and he allowed a long home run but also recorded four strikeouts in his 49 pitches and 2.2 innings of work. After the start he told reporters he was featuring his curveball.

Other notes from camp:

The Brewers are back in Maryvale today and will host the Rockies at 2:05 Central time. Kyle Lohse is scheduled to start, and he's the subject of the latest edition of "Brewers By the (Jersey) Numbers" at The Brewer Nation. @AdamMcCalvy reports that Michael Blazek, Will Smith and Wei-Chung Wang are also scheduled to pitch today.

Smith just pitched an inning on Monday, so it's unlikely the Brewers will stretch him out too far today. Tyler Dunne of the JS talked to Smith about his first spring with the Brewers and possibilities regarding his long term role.

Today the Brewers will also get a second look at MLB's new replay procedures (h/t @jstein1981). Neither team challenged a play in the first game.

Scooter Gennett started at second base yesterday, so there's a good chance we'll see Rickie Weeks today. Jonathan Judge of Disciples of Uecker has a look at the competition for playing time at second base and cautions Brewers fans to maintain reasonable expectations for whoever wins.

Whoever plays second base will certainly get the opportunity to move around the infield a bit as part of the Brewers' defensive shifting. Chris Teeter of Beyond the Box Score studied the shift and noted that the Brewers used an altered defensive alignment 426 times in 2013, but only prevented about five hits by doing so.

Khris Davis also got the day off yesterday, so he'll probably be back in action today. Andrew Gruman of FS Wisconsin says now is the time for Davis to prove he belongs in an every day role. Tyler Drenon of MLB Daily Dish listed Davis as one of four outfielders to watch this season.

Jeff Bianchi and Juan Francisco each had hits yesterday and are among the Brewers leaders with a combined 25 at bats this spring. The organization probably wants to get a good look at them, as MLB Trade Rumors notes they're both out of options and will need to either make the roster or be exposed to waivers.

In the minors: As of this writing Ariel Pena leads by just two votes in the balloting to determine the #15 spot in our BCB Community Prospect Rankings. You have until noon today to cast your vote, and the poll for #16 will open at or around 12:59.

Today in predictions, projections and whatnot: As of this writing 79% of voters in this JS poll think the Brewers will win 80 or more games in 2014.

If you'd like more Brewers coverage today but you're sick of reading, our own Nathan Petrashek released the first edition of his new Cream City Cables podcast on Thursday.

Around baseball:

Rangers: Designated outfielder Alex Castellanos for assignment.
Royals: Pitcher Luke Hochevar will open the season on the DL with a sprained UCL.

Today in former Brewers:

With the first cuts of spring looming, now is as good a time as any to refresh yourself on roster rules and procedures. Bluebird Banter has a pretty useful primer on options and outrights.

Finally, with help from the B-Ref Play Index, we'd like to wish a happy birthday today to:

Plunk Everyone notes that Husting's 25 career hit batsmen are the fourth most ever for a pitcher born on March 6.

Today is also the 34th anniversary of Brewers manager George Bamberger's heart attack in the team's Sun City clubhouse in 1980. We covered that event in Today In Brewer History two years ago.

Now, if you'll excuse me, I need to find my umbrella.

Drink up.

Rockies vs. Brewers spring training preview: Jordan Lyles makes 2nd start

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Jordan Lyles will have his work cut out for him against the Brewers. Let's hope he flashes some of that upside.

One-half of the return the Rockies received in the Dexter Fowler trade will make his second start this spring against the Brewers in Cactus League action.

Lyles has been one of the worst starters in the league over the last three seasons, as SB Nation's Grant Brisbee recently noted. But, since he's only 23 years old and possesses a pretty good fastball, there is some upside there and the Rockies obviously see it. He's certainly in for a challenge today against a Brewers lineup that looks big-league quality, unlike the one the Rockies will be running out there.

Still, all is well, as we'll get our first chance to see Lyles and the rest of the squad as MLB.tv will finally be carrying a Rockies game, albeit with the Brewers feed.

Opposing Lyles will be Kyle Lohse, a guy at whom the Rockies made a run prior to last season. Lohse ultimately signed with Milwaukee, of course, and ended up posting solid numbers -- a 3.35 ERA and 3.47 K/BB ratio in just shy of 200 innings.



BCB Community Prospect Rankings: Vote for #16

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Who is the #16 prospect in the Brewers organization?

Ariel Pena held onto a two-vote lead to clinch the #15 spot in our community's ranking of the top prospects in the Brewers organization. Here's where we stand today:

  1. Jimmy Nelson (57% of the vote)
  2. Tyrone Taylor (65% of the vote)
  3. Victor Roache (40% of the vote)
  4. Mitch Haniger (39% of the vote)
  5. Orlando Arcia (34% of the vote)
  6. Devin Williams (37% of the vote)
  7. Johnny Hellweg (52% of the vote)
  8. Hunter Morris (24% of the vote)
  9. Taylor Jungmann (23% of the vote)
  10. David Goforth (33% of the vote)
  11. Clint Coulter (42% of the vote)
  12. Nick Delmonico (43% of the vote)
  13. Michael Reed (24% of the vote)
  14. Jason Rogers (26% of the vote)
  15. Ariel Pena (31% of the vote)

Here are your choices for #16:

(For a full explanation of what we're doing here, check out the first post in the series.)

Jed Bradley, LHP
Age: 23
Top level reached in 2013: A+

2013 stats:

Brevard County (A+): 78.1 IP, 4.14 ERA, 1.532 WHIP, 39 BB (4.5 BB/9), 58 K (6.7 K/9)

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
FanGraphs13
Baseball America18
Miller Park Prospects23
Brewers Farm Report24
John Sickels/Minor League BallHonorable Mention

David Denson, 1B
Age: 18
Top level reached in 2013: Rookie (Arizona)

2013 stats:

Arizona (Rookie): 161 PA, .244/.385/.449, 6 HR, 2 SB, 2 CS, 29 BB, 45 K

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
Keith Law/ESPN11
None






Drew Gagnon, RHP
Age:
23
Top level reached in 2013: AA

2013 stats:

Huntsville (AA): 84 IP, 5.57 ERA, 1.619 WHIP, 42 BB (4.5 BB/9), 58 K (6.2 K/9)
Brevard County (A+): 45.1 IP, 5.16 ERA, 15 BB (3.0 BB/9), 50 K (9.9 K/9)

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
John Sickels/Minor League BallHonorable Mention
Baseball America25
Brewers Farm Report25
Miller Park Prospects25
None

Jorge Lopez, RHP
Age:
21
Top level reached in 2013: A

2013 stats:

Wisconsin (A): 117 IP, 5.23 ERA, 1.436 WHIP, 48 BB (3.7 BB/9), 92 K (7.1 K/9)

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
Miller Park Prospects16
Brewers Farm Report23
Baseball America24
John Sickels/Minor League BallHonorable Mention
Keith Law/ESPNHonorable Mention

Damien Magnifico, RHP
Age: 22
Top level reached in 2013: A+

2013 stats:

Brevard County (A+): 26.2 IP, 6.08 ERA, 1.838 WHIP, 17 BB (5.7 BB/9), 17 K (5.7 K/9)
Wisconsin (A): 54 IP, 3.83 ERA, 1.389 WHIP, 24 BB (4.0 BB/9), 46 K (7.7 K/9)

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
Baseball America14
FanGraphs14
Brewers Farm Report16
John Sickels/Minor League Ball20
Miller Park Prospects20

Tucker Neuhaus, SS/3B
Age: 18
Top level reached in 2013: Rookie (Arizona)

2013 stats:

Arizona (Rookie): 219 PA, .231/.311/.303, 0 HR, 6 SB, 3 CS, 23 BB, 56 K

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
Brewers Farm Report9
John Sickels/Minor League Ball11
FanGraphs11
Miller Park Prospects12
Baseball America14

Yadiel Rivera, SS
Age: 21
Top level reached in 2013: A+

2013 stats:

Brevard County (A+): 524 PA, .241/.300/.314, 5 HR, 13 SB, 8 CS, 32 BB, 80 K

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
Baseball Prospectus10
Grading on the Curve12
Baseball America13
Miller Park Prospects19
John Sickels/Minor League BallHonorable Mention

Tyler Wagner, RHP
Age: 23
Top level reached in 2013: A

2013 stats:

Wisconsin (A): 148.2 IP, 3.21 ERA, 1.244 WHIP, 56 BB (3.4 BB/9), 116 K (7.0 K/9)

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
John Sickels/Minor League Ball13
Baseball America16
Brewers Farm Report17
Miller Park Prospects21
None

Wei-Chung Wang, LHP
Age:
21
Top level reached in 2013: Rookie (Gulf Coast League)

2013 stats:

Bradenton (Rookie): 47.1 IP, 3.23 ERA, 0.866 WHIP, 4 BB (0.8 BB/9), 42 K (8.0 K/9)

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
John Sickels/Minor League BallHonorable Mention
None

Taylor Williams, RHP
Age:
22
Top level reached in 2013: Rookie (Helena)

2013 stats:

Helena (Rookie): 42.1 IP, 4.25 ERA, 1.394 WHIP, 17 BB (3.6 BB/9), 42 K (8.9 K/9)

Highest position in other rankings:

SourceRank
John Sickels/Minor League Ball12
Baseball America19
None
Poll
Who is the #16 prospect in the Brewers organization?

  0 votes |Results

Spring Training Game Preview and Thread #-24: Brewers (4-4) v Rockies (3-5)

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The Brewers are on TV again today!

The Rockies entered play Wednesday as one of the Cactus League's worst teams, dragging a 1-5 record and a five-game losing streak. Then they swept a split squad doubleheader against the Cubs and Rangers, so perhaps they've righted the ship.

Today they'll face veteran right hander Kyle Lohse (0.00 ERA this spring, 3.35/4.08 ERA/FIP in 2013) in his second start of the spring. Lohse was perfect against the Dodgers on Saturday, retiring six batters in order without a hit, walk or strikeout.

March 1 was Lohse's earliest spring training debut since 2009, when he was a member of the Cardinals. He only made one official Cactus League start a year ago after signing late in the spring. He's probably scheduled for around three innings or 50 pitches today, whichever comes first.

Lohse did not face the Rockies in 2013, and has only seen them eleven times in his 13 MLB seasons. Three current Rockies have faced him ten times or more:

PAABH2B3BHRRBIBBSOBAOBPSLGOPS
Troy Tulowitzki21196211222.316.381.6841.065
Carlos Gonzalez17155101322.333.412.6001.012
Drew Stubbs15142000012.143.200.143.343
Total98902471310711.267.320.467.786
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 3/6/2014.

He'll face old friend Jordan Lyles (4.50 ERA this spring, 5.59/4.57 ERA/FIP in 2013) in the second spring start of his first year with the Rockies. Lyles is still only 23 but had already pitched three MLB seasons as a member of the Astros before joining the Rockies in the Dexter Fowler trade in December. He faced the Reds on Saturday and allowed two runs (one earned) on three hits over two innings.

Lyles was the #38 overall pick in the 2008 draft and made his MLB debut at age 20 but has struggled in the big leagues, posting a 5.35 ERA in 72 career appearances. His 377 career MLB innings are the fourth most among active pitchers with ERAs over 5.30:

RkPlayerIPERAFromToAge
1Kyle Davies768.05.592005201121-27
2Andrew Miller430.15.332006201321-28
3Seth McClung430.15.462003200922-28
4Jordan Lyles377.05.352011201320-22
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 3/6/2014.

He throws a low-90's fastball with a curve, slider and changeup.

Lyles beat the Brewers in interleague play a year ago, holding them to a single run on seven hits over seven innings on June 18 in a 10-1 Astros win. Five current Brewers have faced him ten times or more:

PAABH2B3BHRRBIBBSOBAOBPSLGOPS
Aramis Ramirez21215100203.238.238.286.524
Ryan Braun18175100312.294.333.353.686
Rickie Weeks14124002412.333.429.8331.262
Carlos Gomez12115100011.455.500.5451.045
Jean Segura1093000002.333.400.333.733
Total1111052731212319.257.291.362.653
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 3/6/2014.

Mike Vassallo has today's lineup:

In addition to Lohse, Michael Blazek, Will Smith and Wei-Chung Wang are scheduled to pitch today.

It's another picture postcard weather day in Phoenix. Expect a game time temperature in the upper 70's to climb into the 80's as the day goes along with light winds.


2014 Rockies spring training Game No. 9: Jordan Lyles vs. Kyle Lohse

Brewers capitalize on Rockies errors, win 5-3

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Four defensive miscues in one inning were the difference in this game.

W: Will Smith (1-0)
L: Rob Scahill (0-2)

HR: Elian Herrera (1)

The Brewers connected for a dozen hits today, but errors were the deciding factor as they rallied to beat the Rockies 5-3. The game was tied 3-3 in the eighth when Irving Falu, Jeff Bianchi and Kevin Mattison all reached on three consecutive fielding miscues, with the final play bringing Falu home with the game-winning run.

Kyle Lohse's perfect spring came to an end today, but he limited all the damage to one inning. He pitched three innings in this game and allowed two runs on three hits, all during the second inning.  Lohse was followed to the mound by Michael Blazek, who walked four of the nine batters he faced but pitched two scoreless innings. Wei-Chung Wang recorded a pair of strikeouts while working a scoreless sixth and seventh before Smith came in and allowed a run in the eighth. Smith was rewarded with the win when the Brewers rallied to retake the lead.

Logan Schafer was the offensive star for the Crew today, connecting for three hits, stealing two bases and scoring a run. He now has seven hits in 14 at bats this spring.

Today's unusual event came in the sixth inning, when Rockies manager Walt Weiss used baseball's new experimental replay system to request a review of one of Schafer's stolen bases. Schafer was called safe on the field, and replay confirmed the call.

The homestand continues tomorrow when the Brewers host the Padres at 2:05. Matt Garza is scheduled to pitch against Joe Ross.

Brewers 5, Rockies 3: Four errors in 8th inning doom Colorado

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Jordan Lyles pitched well in his second start of the spring but a bunch of minor-leaguers committed a host of eighth-inning errors that cost the Rockies the game.

Four Rockies errors in a span of three batters in the bottom of the eighth inning allowed the Brewers to break a 3-3 tie and hold on to win, 5-3.

A half-inning after Kyle Parker doubled down the left field line to score Matt Argyropoulos and tie the game, the Rockies gave that run and another back to the Brewers with miscues by Parker, Argyropoulos, Rosell Herrera and Tyler Massey. The errors compounded the walk and hit allowed in the inning by Rob Scahill, who didn't surrender an earned run but fell to 0-2 with a 16.88 ERA this spring.

Like Scahill, most of the other Rockies relievers in the game had to work around significant traffic issues and didn't perform all that well. Adam Ottavino was the lone exception, allowing one hit but notching a strikeout in a scoreless inning of work. The best performance on the mound belonged to starter Jordan Lyles, who worked three scoreless innings, allowing three hits and a walk while striking out two. Lyles used his fastball effectively to challenge hitters, something he'll need to continue to be unafraid to do if he's going to have a shot at cracking the big-league staff.

The Rockies and Walt Weiss used their first-ever managerial challenge in the sixth inning when Brewers outfielder Logan Schafer stole second base off of Nick Masset and Jackson Williams. Umpires took less than two minutes to review the play and determine that Schafer was indeed safe.

Offensively, Colorado managed only six hits compared to the Brewers' 12. Parker and Tom Murphy had the biggest of the bunch, each registering an RBI double in the game.

The Rockies (3-6) will be back in action on Friday against the Angels at Salt River Fields at Talking Stick. There will be no TV broadcast of any sort, but MLB.com will have streaming audio coverage of the 1:10 p.m. MT contest.

Roll Call Info
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Commenter listAtkinsandTulofanBostonTransplantBubbaFanClaytonissDAWNMARIE01DomPDrew Creasman,ES46NE10Ender-25Gasstation1Junction RoxOl' DeweyOldfoagiePurpleToPurpleRockyMountainWay91,Roxfan24Roxman4everSDcat09ThnikkamanTulo-git to QuitWhiskeyDrinkingManbutterfly2charismos,chucknazty4evadmoneyroxidj2zmiko

Friday's Frosty Mug: Catcher concentration

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We're talking about the first cuts of spring and more in today's roundup of all things Brewers.

Some things to read on your way to the cage.

Today is the 21st day of spring training 2014, and there will be a couple of empty lockers in the big league clubhouse this morning: After yesterday's game the Brewers returned catchers Cameron Garfield and Adam Weisenburger to minor league camp. Each player had appeared in two big league games and made one plate appearance.

Four catchers remain in major league camp (Jonathan Lucroy, Martin Maldonado and non-roster invitees Robinzon Diaz and Matt Pagnozzi), but there's little doubt about which two the team is planning on taking north. Yesterday Jon Heyman had some high praise for Jonathan Lucroy (on Twitter), saying one executive had told him their team ranks him as one of baseball's top two catchers. Jeff Sullivan of FanGraphs has a look at how pitch framing may have factored into that evaluation.

Back on the field, the Rockies committed four errors in the eighth inning and the Brewers took advantage of the opportunity to steal a 5-3 win in Maryvale. We've got the recap, if you missed it.

Yesterday's game also featured a first for the Brewers as Rockies manager Walt Weiss challenged a call with MLB's new replay system, arguing that Logan Schafer should've been out on a stolen base attempt. Replay upheld the call, and Todd Rosiak summed it up in our Tweet of the Day:

Schafer, by the way, had three hits and two stolen bases in his best game of the spring to date.

Other notes from the field:

The Brewers continue their longest homestand of the spring when they host the Padres at 2:05 Central time today. Matt Garza is scheduled to start and @AdamMcCalvy reports he'll be followed to the mound by Johnny Hellweg and Brandon Kintzler.

Rickie Weeks was back in the lineup on Thursday and went 0-for-2 with a walk, reaching base for the ninth time this spring. That probably puts a little more pressure on Scooter Gennett, who's still stuck on one hit, but Ron Roenicke told Gennett not to worry about the stats. That story also includes a note on Scooter's struggles against lefties.

Juan Francisco was out of the lineup yesterday but remains among the Brewers leaders with six hits, two home runs and four RBI this spring. Ken Rosenthal suggests (via MLBTR) that the Tigers could be a fit for the lefty slugger if the Brewers decide not to keep him on the Opening Day roster.

Mitch Haniger remains a long shot at best to make the team, but he leads all Brewers with five RBI this spring. Adam McCalvy talked to him about his first spring in major league camp.

Hunter Morris was also off on Thursday and is still looking for his first base hit of the spring. He's the subject of the latest edition of "Brewers By the (Jersey) Numbers" at The Brewer Nation.

It's been a couple of days since we've seen the Brewers run the contact play, which is an encouraging development. TOOTBLAN Tracker looked at a possible correlation between OBP and bad outs on the bases in 2013 and noted that the Brewers were first in the latter despite being 21st in the former.

Through nine games this spring the Brewers have been hit by four pitches, including two plunkings for Mark Reynolds. Ryan P. Morrison of Beyond the Box Score has a look at the uptick in batters getting hit by pitches in recent years and wonders if getting on base that way is a repeatable skill.

In the minors:

The transaction wire was quiet across baseball yesterday, so it's musical interlude time: (h/t @dwalsh76)

There were four ties across baseball yesterday, with three coming in the Cactus League. The fourth was a rain-shortened scoreless tie in Jupiter, where the Marlins were hosting the Red Sox in their only "super-premium" priced game of the spring. The joke was on the fans, though, as the Red Sox didn't send any of their regulars to the contest. The Marlins were none too happy about it and have since received an apology. (h/t BBTF)

Today in former Brewers:

  • Kameron Loe, who is in Giants camp and is quite tall, traded uniforms for the day with Tim Lincecum, who is not very tall. Hilarity ensued.
  • Dan Plesac, who will be in Brewers camp today for MLB Network's "30 Clubs, 30 Days" series, posted a picture on Twitter of himself as a Brewer in 1986.

Today's sabermetric note comes from Mike Bates of SBNation.com, who wonders if the increased availability of MLBAM's new defensive data could take an advantage away from small market teams who have found value in strong defensive players.

Finally, with help from the B-Ref Play Index, we'd like to wish a happy birthday today to:

  • Tyrone Hill, the Brewers' first round pick (#15 overall) in the 1991 draft, who turns 41. We covered his birthday in Today In Brewer History last year.
  • 1978 Brewer Randy Stein, who would have turned 61.
  • Milwaukee native and UW-Madison alum Red Wilson, who turns 85. Wilson played ten seasons in the majors between 1951-60 as a member of the Tigers and two other teams.

Today is also the 35th anniversary of the Brewers signing pitcher Bob Gibson as an amateur free agent in 1979. We covered that event in this space two years ago.

Now, if you'll excuse me, I'm out of M&Ms.

Drink up.

Top 20 Organization Prospect Lists for 2014: Thru 3/7/2014

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03/07 Padres Preview: ST Game 10 @ Brewers

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Looking to follow up on each of their successful Spring debuts, Tyson Ross and Carlos Quentin look to lead the Padres to victory against the Brewers in Phoenix.

Tyson Ross will make his second start of the Spring today as the Padres hit the road to face the Brewers in Phoenix. In his first outing, Ross tossed two fantastic innings, facing the minimum six batters while he was on the mound. He did issue one walk, but the runner was erased on a double play in the next at-bat before Ross capped his performance with a strikeout to end the frame.
0302_ross_k_medium

Also making his second appearance of the Spring today will be Carlos Quentin, who will DH and bat in the cleanup spot. Quentin's much-anticipated 2014 debut on Tuesday was an exciting one, as he hit a home run in his very first at-bat.
0304_quentin_hr_medium

And behind the plate for Ross will be Nick Hundley, who blasted a three-run homer just two days ago in the Padres' pummeling of the White Sox.
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Matt Garza will make the start on the mound for Milwaukee. He's coming off a rough outing in which he surrendered four runs on four hits and two walks, using up 28 pitches in just his first inning of work on Sunday.

Watch/Listen

Catch the game at 12:05pm today on MLB.TV or Gameday Audio or At-Bat. It will also be showing very, very delayed at 1:00am Saturday morning on MLB Network, so set your DVRs and/or alarms.

Spring Training Game Preview and Thread #-23: Brewers (5-4) v Padres (2-6)

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Can the Brewers keep Arizona's worst team down?

Today, two teams headed in opposite directions collide in Maryvale. The Brewers are undefeated on their current Cactus League homestand, having beaten the A's and Rockies to get back above .500 on the spring. The Padres have Arizona's worst record at 2-6.

The Brewers will try to keep their momentum going today by sending Matt Garza (36.00 ERA this spring, 3.82/3.88 ERA/FIP in 2013) to the mound. Garza had a Brewer debut to forget on Sunday, allowing four runs on four hits and two walks in just one inning of work against the Rockies.

After the start Garza told reporters he did not throw his slider, his signature pitch. FanGraphs estimates the pitch was worth +1.42 runs per 100 times thrown in 2013, making it his only above average offering. It's normal for veteran pitchers to work with a limited arsenal early in spring and expand it as they get closer to Opening Day.

Garza did not face the Padres in 2013 and has seen them just three times in the regular season in his career. Two current San Diego batters have faced him ten times or more:

PAABH2B3BHRRBIBBSOBAOBPSLGOPS
Seth Smith16152000015.133.188.133.321
Will Venable10102000005.200.200.200.400
Total5855111003218.200.241.218.460
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 3/7/2014.

He'll face 20-year-old right hander Joe Ross (3.00 ERA this spring, did not pitch in majors in 2013), who is making his first start in his third Cactus League appearance. Ross was the Padres' first round pick in the 2011 draft and spent 2013 in the Low-A Midwest League with Fort Wayne, where he psoted a 3.75 ERA over 23 starts. He pitched in relief against the Giants on Monday and worked two scoreless innings.

John Sickels of Minor League Ball hasn't released his list of the Padres' top prospects for 2014, but listed Ross as a B- prospect in his 2013 book. Here's an excerpt from the book on Ross' stuff:

When he's right, Ross throws a 93-96 MPH fastball with outstanding movement. He also has a very good slider, but his changeup is erratic. At times his command is good, but he's not consistent about that and is still more thrower than pitcher.

Obviously Ross has never faced the Brewers in the majors. He also did not see the Wisconsin Timber Rattlers while pitching in the Midwest League last season.

John Steinmiller has today's Brewer lineup:

In addition to Garza, Johnny Hellweg and Brandon Kintzler are expected to pitch today.

It's been a great week for baseball in Phoenix and that continues today. Expect a game-time temperature around 76 to climb into the 80s as the afternoon goes along, with no chance of rain and light winds blowing out to right.


Garza roughed up again in 6-2 loss to Padres

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It's ok, he's just...umm...working on stuff.

W: Tyson Ross (1-0)
L: Matt Garza (0-1)

HR: Scooter Gennett (1), Alex Dickerson (1), Rico Noel (inside the park, 1)

Gameday Box Score

It's a good thing these games don't matter, because this one was pretty discouraging.

Matt Garza was roughed up for the second consecutive start, this time allowing three runs (two earned) on six hits over three innings. Garza has now allowed 12 baserunners in just four innings of work over his two starts this spring, and reportedly has yet to throw a breaking ball.

Meanwhile, the Brewers offense didn't offer much help. They didn't get their first hit until Padres outfielder Rico Noel lost a fly ball in the sun in the sixth inning and gave Elian Herrera a triple. Scooter Gennett followed that with a home run to get the Crew on the board but, unfortunately, Herrera returned the favor by losing a fly ball in the sun in the sixth and two more San Diego runs scored.

Today was a rare quiet day offensively for Ryan Braun, who went 0-for-2 with a walk. Scooter Gennett's homer was only his second hit of the spring.

The Brewers did get solid pitching performances today from a pair of starting pitchers likely ticketed for AAA Nashville: Johnny Hellweg worked around a hit and a walk in two scoreless innings, and Mike Fiers cruised through a 1-2-3 eighth.

The Brewers are now 5-5 on the spring, and they wrap up the longest homestand of the exhibition season when they host the Royals tomorrow. MLB.com says Marco Estrada will face John Lamb, but they were wrong about which Ross was pitching for the Padres today.

Padres 6, Brewers 2: Friars Get Offense And Pitching Together

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Really good things happen when you have hot bats and hot arms.

Here's what you need to know about today's victory over the Brewers:

Alex Dickerson lined one over the right field wall.

0307_dickerson_hr_medium

Rico Noel hit a home run the only way he knows how: Inside the park.

0307_noel_itp_hr_1_medium
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There was some other good stuff, sure. Tyson Ross threw three scoreless innings, picking up a trio of strikeouts in the process. Robbie Erlin followed him with two scoreless innings, allowing just one walk while striking out two. Matt Wisler got a couple innings against some major leaguers. It wasn't an audition for the rotation, just a chance to work on some of his stuff. Scooter Gennett took him yard, but it was a great opportunity for one of the most promising arms in the system.

Josh Johnson gets the start against the Cactus League-leading Indians at 12:05 PM PST tomorrow.

Roll Call Info
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Commenter listAxion, B Cres, Darklighter, SD_Hat_Guy, Sam (sdsuaztec4), TheThinGwynn, Thelonious_Friar, Wonko, ariz2cali, boltzmann98, freelunch, jbox, jodes0405, kevintheoman, lonndoggie
Story URLs

Thelonius_Friar was the most prolific commenter today, but jodes0405 was slugging way better, getting an impressive 16 recs.

What we learned this week: March 8, 2014

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This week's lessons include more trade rumors, a review of a book about the history and traditions of the team, and missing TV broadcasts.

The Brewers are still looking to improve the team.

It's always important for a team to find ways to improve. The Brewers are no exception to this. They are always looking to improve the team, and as a result, various rumors come out throughout the year. Another one of these rumors came out earlier this week, with reports coming out that the Brewers are scouting Mike Carp. It would be another option for the Brewers at first base, but the Brewers have already put together quite a few options for first base. Would Mike Carp help the Brewers? Maybe, but for now, it's just another option to consider.

There's a lot to do and know as a Brewers fan.

The Brewers history is not as long as many of the other MLB teams, but there's still plenty to know about them. You could be a fan for years and still not know most of their history or traditions. Tom Haudricourt wrote a book to cover a lot of this, and morineko reviewed that book earlier in the week. Her conclusion is that it's good to read if you're a new fan that wants to learn about the team or an old fan that wants a refresher.

We won't get to watch every game this season (unless we attend every game).

The Brewers play 162 games a season, but there aren't 162 broadcasts during the regular season. FS Wisconsin broadcasts over 90% of the games, but not all of them. This year, at least 10 games will not be broadcast on TV. There's a variety of reasons for this. Some of it is about ratings, some of it is conflicts, and there are probably other reasons for why these games aren't covered. In the end, what it means is that if you want to watch every game, you may have to get a little creative (or be ready to make some trips).

Cram Session

- Unfamiliar with how the minor league call-ups and assignments work? Bluebird Banter went through the rules extensively and covered all of the details of how the system works. There's a lot to it, and even some people who have worked in it for years get it wrong.

- Mike Gonzalez got a lot of criticism last season for his performance. He was a free agent in the offseason, and it took a while for him to find a job. He finally did this week, signing a minor-league deal with Washington, where he had some good success.

- Jim Henderson has only made one spring appearance so far, and there's a reason for that. Henderson has been working on a new pitch in spring training. We don't know what the pitch is yet, but it will eventually come out.

- Aramis Ramirez has been recovering from offseason surgery, and is getting close to making his spring debut. If all is going well, he should make his debut today.

- Bob Uecker will take some time off this season, which resulted in some concern about who would cover for him. The concern was alleviated with the announcement of the announcers who would cover for him: former Brewers Craig Counsell and Darryl Hamilton.

- Rickie Weeks is fighting for a starting job this spring. So far, his stats are looking good, and there's a reason for it. He has made some adjustments to his batting stance, and the results have been good.

- The Brewers got their first taste of the new replay system on Thursday. During their game against the Rockies, Logan Schafer was called safe on the steal, and the Rockies manager challenged the call. The review confirmed the call on the field, and the whole process took no more than two minutes.

Reviewing the BCB Community Prospect Rankings

Vote for #14 (Jason Rogers)
Vote for #15 (Ariel Pena)
Vote for #16 (Tucker Neuheus/Wei Chung-Wang)

The Box Scores

3/1/2014: Brewers 6, Dodgers 5 (Game Preview/Thread)
3/1/2014: Diamondacks 2, Brewers 1 (Game Preview/Thread)
3/2/2014: Brewers 6, Rockies 5 (Game Preview/Thread)
3/3/2014: Cubs 4, Brewers 2 (Game Preview/Thread)
3/4/2014: Athletics 6, Brewers 4 (Game Preview/Thread)
3/5/2014: Brewers 7, Athletics 2 (Game Preview/Thread)
3/6/2014: Brewers 5, Rockies 3 (Game Preview/Thread)
3/7/2014: Padres 6, Brewers 2 (Game Preview/Thread)

The Collection of Mugs

3/3/2014: Busy Weekend of Baseball
3/4/2014: Trying to make the roster
3/5/2014: Going under
3/6/2014: Starting hot
3/7/2014: Catcher concentration

Spring Training Game Preview and Thread #-22: Brewers (5-5) v Royals (5-3)

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Ned Yost and Norichika Aoki return to Maryvale this afternoon.

The Brewers only won 13 games all of last spring. They could pick up their sixth win of the spring today when they host the Royals.

They'll be looking for that win at 2:05 Central time with Marco Estrada (5.40 ERA this spring, 3.87/3.86 ERA/FIP in 2013) on the mound. Estrada was solid against the Cubs in his second start on Monday, allowing a run on four hits with a strikeout over three innings.

Estrada is the first Brewer to make a third start this spring, so he's probably looking for something like 60 pitches and 4-5 innings today. This is the part of spring where it starts to become difficult to find innings for everyone in camp, so don't be surprised if the Brewers start sending some pitchers down soon. As of this writing they have 28 pitchers in the big league clubhouse.

Estrada has never faced the Royals in a regular season game. No current Royal has faced him more than four times before.

He'll face 23-year-old lefty John Lamb (9.00 ERA this spring, did not pitch in majors in 2013), a one-time top prospect whose star has faded a bit in recent years. Lamb was the Royals' fifth round pick in 2008 and was Baseball Prospectus' #11 prospect in all of baseball in 2011, but he's posted ERAs over 5.50 in the top levels of the minors in each of the last two seasons.

For the 2014 season, John Sickels of Minor League Ball has listed Lamb as an honorable mention on his list of the Royals' top 20 prospects. In his 2013 book Sickels said Lamb "features a 90-95 mph fastball and an excellent changeup.

Lamb has, of course, never faced the Brewers in the majors.

He'll face a Brewer lineup that includes Aramis Ramirez for the first time this spring:

After Estrada, Jim Henderson, Jimmy Nelson and Jose De La Torre are expected to pitch today.

It's another perfect day for baseball in Phoenix today. Expect a game-time temperature around 76 with light winds blowing from left to right.

Game 10 Open Thread - Royals vs. Brewers

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John Lamb not looking good.

Sorry for the late thread. Apparently John Lamb didn't show up on time either. Getting roughed up in the first.

Line up!

RF Norichika Aoki

2B Christian Colon

1B Eric Hosmer

DH Billy Butler

LF Alex Gordon

C Salvador Perez

3B Mike Moustakas

CF Lorenzo Cain

SS Alcides Escobar

John Lamb gave up four hits, two walks, four runs, and just two outs before getting a first inning hook. Sugar Ray Marimon in now. Aaron Crow, Louis Coleman, Cory Wade, and Kelvin Herrera also scheduled to go today.

Be Royal.

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