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Brewers Spring Training Storylines

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Today is the most exciting day in baseball where nothing actually happens.

Brewers pitchers and catchers report to Spring Training today. It's a symbolically  important day for baseball fans. The off-season isn't entirely over but we're now in the transition period on our way to the preseason. In 4 or 5 days the entire team will report to camp. Just 12 days from now we'll truly enter the preseason. That's the first spring training game (March 4th).

Again, early on it doesn't mean much. It's not that exciting. The games don't really mean anything, though some fan bases are going to freak out because their team isn't winning enough of these meaningless games. The games themselves aren't important, but we as Brewers fans are going to learn the answers to some very important questions.

Will Ryan Braun get the thumbs up?

Everyone knows the problems Braun has had with his thumb and the much discussed cryo-therapy procedure performed on said thumb. No one really knows what to expect for him going forward. The Brewers have been saying they won't truly know if the surgery was a success until Braun is playing the game and swinging a bat with regularity. That moment of truth is fast approaching. By mid-to-late March we should have some kind of answer.

Don't underestimate how important it is for the whole franchise that the answer is a positive one. Ryan Braun is under contract through the 2020 season with a team option for 2021. He's getting paid a pretty penny too. In the current economic landscape it's no longer superstar caliber money. But it's still a lot for the small market Milwaukee club.

In the best case scenario the Brewers are competing and they need Braun to be able to do that. In the Brewers worst case scenario (a complete rebuild) they'd still like the ability to trade Ryan Braun. In both cases they need that thumb to not be an issue.

How quickly will Jonathan Lucroy's hammy heal up?

Jonathan Lucroy sprained his hamstring while running. The recover timetable was set for 4-6 weeks. The time at which this occurred was 7+ weeks before opening day. That's good. Even if Lucroy heals a bit slowly he would seem to find himself in a position to be ready for the first game of the regular season. That's what really matters.

I'm not worried about his bat starting off slowly. He can still take batting practice. I'm not worried about his ability to call a game or frame a pitch. Those would be skills that don't seem to just go away. The one thing he might be worse off at is playing first base.

Lucroy was going to spend a large portion of ST working and playing at first base. However I would be surprised if Lucroy plays more than 25 games there during the regular season. That mitigates any sort of defensive liability he represents at the position. And it's not like he's never played there. He's done so the past 2 seasons.

My real concern would be if he has to start the season on the disabled list. I like this Brewers team. I do think they have a chance to be better than last year. But in addition to that added potential is a ton of added risk. Lucroy is arguably their best player and if they have to lose him for 2 weeks right from the get go that really shakes their foundation and makes it all the more difficult (and possibly unlikely) they earn a Wild Card spot.

Will the Brewers get Papelbon, K-Rod, or just give up?

Even I'm getting sick of talking about this! This is the worst will-they-won't-they/love triangle storyline since the latter seasons of Buffy the Vampire Slayer. Yeah I watched Buffy. Joss Whedon is a freaking genius get off my back about it! Anyway, it's still an important question and not just for the production K-Rod or Papelbon would bring.

If the Brewers don't get one of those guys it appears likely they'd fill out the bullpen with the currently available in-house options. Here's my expected depth chart if that's the case: Broxton-Perez-Jeffress-Smith-Cotts-Kintzler-Thornburg. Please keep in mind this is what I think the Brewers will do, NOT what I would do.

You'll notice 2 things. I have Chris Perez making the club. I don't have Jim Henderson making the club. The Brewers, right or wrong (probably wrong), seem to really value having veteran relievers with closing experience. That's Chris Perez. That's Jim Henderson too, but until I hear his velocity has returned I can't view him as a serious option.

Will Tyler Thornburg's elbow hold up?

Broxton/K-Rod aside, Tyler Thornburg is the other reliever I'm most curious about. He suffered some kind of tear to his UCL and in the offseason had PRP injections to aid in his healing. Leading up to Spring Training he was said to be throwing bullpens and even ahead of schedule. That's all good news. But I'm still waiting to let the balloons loose until he gets into game action. That's when we'll really know if his elbow is healed or not.

If something happens and Thornburg isn't ready then Rob Wooten probably takes the long relief spot. That's fine, but the bullpen would be much better with Thronburg in that role. I might be alone in this, but I think Thornburg could have Wade Davis/Zach Britton/Andrew Miller/Zach Duke type impact as a full time reliever.

How many Brewers related Spring Training questions can I ask involving the word "up"?

The answer is: No more. I'm done.

Who wins the open bench spots?

I think Gerardo Parra and Martin Maldonado are guaranteed spots on the bench. That leaves 3 spots to fill.

One of them will probably go to either Hector Gomez or Luis Sardinas. I'll bet on Gomez. He is out of minor league options and Sardinas' bat could benefit from more developmental time in AAA.

Another spot will likely go to either Luis Jimenez or Jason Rogers. Both are right-handed hitters that can back up either corner infield spot. Again I'm going to bet on Jimenez for similar reasons. He doesn't have any minor league options. Rogers would definitely benefit for more time at third base in the minors as last year was his first exposure there, ever.

The final spot is much more open. Options on the 40-man roster include: Logan Schafer (LF,CF,RF), Shane Peterson (LF,CF,1B), Matt Clark (1B), Juan Centeno (C), Yadiel Rivera (SS,2B). Realistically, I don't think Clark, Centeno, or Rivera are options for Opening Day. My money is on Shane Peterson because he offers more offensive upside than Schafer. He also adds insurance at first base.

Last minute acquisitions?

To paraphrase Doug Melvin, there's always someone that comes out of nowhere who earns a spot on the roster. Nyjer Morgan, Kyle Lohse, Francisco Rodriguez, and Matt Garza were all players added to the roster rather late in the off-season. Does something similar happen again this year (K-Rod/Papelbon)? Is that player already signed (Chris Perez)? Only time will tell.

Did I miss anything? What are the storylines you'll be following closely this spring?


Hunt and Peck: Pitchers and catchers have reported!

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WOOOOOOOOOOO!

what else is going on in baseball...
  • Alex Rodriguez apologies to the fans. - Hardball Talk
  • Your mom's biggest questions about the 2015 Tigers. - Bless You Boys
  • Who really hogs Sunday Night Baseball? - Baseball Essential
  • 2015 breakout candidates. - SBNation
  • Are groundball pitchers... overrated? - Hardball Times
  • what the cardinals are up to...
  • David Bell, new Cardinals bench coach, talks about his new role. - MLB
  • Jordan Walden looks to make a name for himself. - MLB
  • In honor of pitchers and catchers reporting, here is an an oldie, but a goodie from Derrick Goold. - STLToday
  • Lance Lynn's 2005 high school team is named the greatest Indiana high school baseball team of all-time, going 25-0. - Viva el Birdos
  • KNOW THINE ENEMY...
    the nl central
    viva el stuff...

    other things...
    • Kate Nolan will have a new show premiering March 15. - Awful Announcing
    • Tonight (Friday) the Blues take on the Bruins at 7:00pm. All your Blues info and more can be found here. - St. Louis Game Time
    Send me links! Tweet me @lil_scooter93 or e-mail me @lil_scooter93@msn.com!

    What we learned: February 20, 2015

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    Today's lessons include plenty of Spring Training talk as camp opens today.

    Pitchers and catchers for the Brewers report today.

    Today is finally the day to get back to some baseball. 145 days after the Brewers season came to an end in 2014, pitchers and catchers report today for Spring Training. It's the first step to getting back to baseball in 2015. The first workout will be on Sunday, and the full squad reports on February 25, with a full squad workout the next day. We are 12 days away from the first Spring Training game, which will take place on March 4. This morning, Derek provided a welcome to Spring Training by looking at some of the storylines for the Brewers as they begin. There are a lot of unanswered questions out there right not about the Brewers, but it won't be long before things become a little clearer.

    Brewers News and Analysis

    Around Baseball

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    What we learned: February 23, 2015

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    Today's lessons include plenty of news as Brewers Spring Training had its first weekend.

    Brewers News and Analysis

    From Brew Crew Ball

    Early Camp News from Brewers.com

    Other Notes

    NL Central Update

    Around Baseball

    Transactions

    Other Notes

    AAI Part Two: Measuring Jose Bautista's best 2014 home runs

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    The people have spoken, and they want an excuse to watch videos of home runs.

    Generally speaking, sequels tend to be worse than originals, but they do have one advantage: the ability to keep exposition to a minimum.

    If you pick up a copy of Taken 2, you already know that someone is going to go missing and you have an idea of the very particular set of skills you can expect Liam Neeson to demonstrate. As a result, that film doesn't take very long to set up. For the record, Taken 2 did not leverage this advantage into an excellent final product and wound up with a score of 21% on Rotten Tomatoes, but that's neither here nor here.

    If you read my piece last Friday on Edwin Encarnacion you have idea what's about to happen here. However, for those who missed it and can't take hyperlink hints, the idea is that one of the great joys of baseball is watching impressive home runs and I thought I would take a stab at quantifying which round trippers are most worthy of your attention.

    The statistic I came up with, AAI, equally weights four factors: speed off the bat, distance, opposing pitcher quality, and the number of parks the home run would leave. A score of 100 in any of these categories indicates the home run was the best one a player hit, and any score below that is relative to the high-water mark. For now the metric is only designed to judge a player against himself in order to see which of his home runs are the most impressive.

    Today's subject is Jose Bautista. The reasons for this are fairly obvious as he is a prolific provider of the long ball and he's not known for wall-scrapers. So, without further ado, here are Bautista's most astounding shots of 2014:

    Bronze Medal

    Date: July 2nd

    Opposing Pitcher: Wily Peralta

    Count: 3-1

    Men on Base: None

    Game Result: Blue Jays 7, Brewers 4

    Speed ScoreDistance ScoreOpposing Pitcher ScorePark ScoreTotal AAI
    94969399382

    There are a couple of things about this particular home run that stand out. Firstly, the ESPN Home Run Tracker seems to believe there is one ballpark that it would not leave, which seems like it has to be an error with this shot measuring at 434 feet. If you feel like bumping up that AAI to 383 in your head I'm ok with it.

    Also it's worth noting that this was hit off a 98 mph fastball. In a 3-1 count Bautista was likely sitting on a fastball and he clobbered one that had elite velocity. Peralta fastball gives him a larger margin for error than other pitchers, but you can't sneak one past Joey Bats.

    Lastly, Bautista really took some time to admire this one, as he is wont to do.

    There are plenty of differing opinions on Bautista's attitude, but I'm of the opinion that he has every right to appreciate his own artistry.

    Silver Medal

    Date: September 22nd

    Opposing Pitcher: Tom Wilhelmsen

    Count: 0-0

    Men on Base: None

    Game Result: Blue Jays 14, Mariners 4

    Speed ScoreDistance ScoreOpposing Pitcher ScorePark ScoreTotal AAI
    949793100384

    This home run likely looks slightly more underwhelming than the AAI suggests, but that's largely due to shoddy camera work. The camera focuses on the 100 level seats throughout the shot giving us the impression it's a normal home run, only adjusting up when the ball is about to hit the facing. As a result, we miss out on the arc of the bomb and don't get as good an idea of the distance on a ball that traveled 437 feet.

    That being said, working a camera is not as easy as it looks and we're here to celebrate Bautista, not evaluate the broadcast. This was a heck of a home run off a pitcher who excels at quieting right-handed bats in Wilhelmsen.

    Gold Medal

    Date: August 30th

    Opposing Pitcher: Michael Pineda

    Count: 0-2

    Men on Base: One

    Game Result: Blue Jays 2, Yankees 0

    Speed ScoreDistance ScoreOpposing Pitcher ScorePark ScoreTotal AAI
    1009497100391

    I'm going to go out on a limb and say that's not where Pineda wanted to leave an 0-2 slider.

    What makes this home run special is how fast it got out of the park. The ball was travelling at 115.5 mph off the bat, almost two mph faster than Bautista's second-fastest shot. He also gets bonus points for driving in the only two runs of the ballgame with that swing.

    If you prefer a towering fly ball this wasn't the home run for you, but it was an absolute laser beam off a very good pitcher and that's what earns it gold medal status.

    Now, one issue with doing this exercise with Jose Bautista is that his home runs don't have a lot of diversity, as shown by the Baseball Savant Heatmap below.

    So, in order to show you something other than Bautista pulling the ball a mile, here is his least impressive home run of 2014 by AAI:

    35th-Place Medal

    Date: September 20th

    Opposing Pitcher: Chase Whitley

    Count: 3-1

    Men on Base: None

    Game Result: Blue Jays 6, Yankees 3

    Speed ScoreDistance ScoreOpposing Pitcher ScorePark ScoreTotal AAI
    84818110256

    Classic cheap Yankee Stadium home run. It's nice to see the Blue Jays get one of those for once, but an underwhelming display by Bautista.

    That concludes your tour of Jose Bautista's home runs in 2014, next up is major offseason acquisition Josh Donaldson.

    What we learned: February 24, 2015

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    Today's lessons include the Brewers offer to Yoan Moncada, the batting order, and the life of a minor-league baseball player in Spring Training.

    Brewers News and Analysis

    Stories from BCB

    News from Brewers Camp

    Other Notes

    Around Baseball

    Transactions

    Other Notes

    The Over The Monster Podcast, Episode 121: Yoan Moncada

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    The Red Sox signed Cuban free agent Yoan Moncada so we talk about that.

    Maybe you saw it coming, but I didn't. Based on all the reports, there didn't seem to be much chance the Red Sox would be the winners when the Yoan Moncada race ended. The Yankees had the money and the need. The Dodgers had money, money, and money. The Brewers had as much or more need as any organization in the game so, sure, why the heck not? The Padres just buy stuff now. Whatever, buy it.

    The Red Sox on the other hand are different. They have a good farm system, they have young players locked up long term, ergo they don't need Yoan Moncada. Sure they were over the international spending limit already, so the penalty was going to be incurred either way, but the Yankees are in the same position and they're the Yankee$. Point is, Moncada ain't coming to Boston.

    Except yes he is!

    So this is a very exciting podcast about a very exciting prospect the Red Sox signed. As when the Red Sox do anything, there are questions. What exactly is Moncada good at? Where will he start in the system? When can we expect to see him in Boston? Where does he fit in their minor league rankings? Does this mean they're trading the rest of the farm for Cole Hamels? (NO!) All these questions are covered in this, the 121st OTM Podcast.

    After that, because why the heck not, we talk a bit about the outfield situation, starting right fielder Shane Victorino, what happens to Mookie Betts if Victorino is healthy, and where Allen Craig fits in to all of this.

    As always, I welcome your thoughts either here in the comments section or over email (matthew dot kory at gmail). Hope you enjoy the podcast and thanks for listening.

    Check Out Baseball Podcasts at Blog Talk Radio with The Over The Monster Podcast on BlogTalkRadio

    What we learned: February 25, 2015

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    Today's lessons include the results of the #1 vote for the BCB Community Prospect Rankings, position players reporting to camp, and more.

    Brewers News and Analysis

    From BCB

    • The #1 vote in our BCB Community Prospect Rankings was revealed, and it went to Orlando Arcia. There's still time to vote for #2, where Tyrone Taylor has taken a commanding lead.
    • Does it count as being in the "best shape of his life" when a player just joined the Brewers organization? It might in this case. Noah found a picture of 2015 Brewers draft pick Jake Gatewood on his Instagram account, showing off the results of his offseason workout plan.

    Notes from Brewers Camp

    Other Notes

    NL Central Update

    Around Baseball

    Transactions

    Other Notes


    Know Your Enemy: Milwaukee Brewers

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    The Brewers haven't made too many changes in their lineup or pitching staff this year.

    Adam Lind.

    For quite some time Adam Lind has been a site meme here. I've actually tried searching for the famous FanPost regarding Lind that was posted here in 2009, but have had no luck. If anyone's got the link, please post it.

    Anyway, Lind was having the best year of his career back then, .305/.370/.562 with 46 doubles and 35 home runs. That produced 3.9 bWAR and got him a Silver Slugger and some MVP votes. But even then, he was mostly a DH -- 92 games at DH that year, 55 in left field. He played more games at first base in 2014 than at DH -- barely, starting 43 at first, 36 at DH. He also missed a chunk of 2014 with injuries, playing in just 96 games overall. He hit reasonably well, .321/.381/.479, but with just six homers.

    I mention all this because the Brewers acquired Lind from the Blue Jays in exchange for righthander Marco Estrada and are expecting him to be their fulltime first baseman in 2015. The most games he's ever started at first base in a season is 71, in 2013. I watched him play first base in Toronto last September and "adequate" is pushing it.

    Good luck to the Brewers with that. Other than that, Milwaukee's starting lineup returns intact from 2014, and what they have to hope for is health and a better performance out of Ryan Braun, who was decidedly mediocre following his return from a PED suspension. In their rotation, they've got a reasonably strong 1-2-3 in Kyle Lohse, Matt Garza and Wily Peralta, but the No. 4 and 5 spots are a bit weak (Mike Fiers, Jimmy Nelson). Francisco Rodriguez, who did a good job closing for Milwaukee last year, is gone. As of now that leaves Jonathan Broxton in the driver's seat to get the closer's job, but the last time he did that on a fulltime basis was 2012. Behind him they have a collection of guys returning from injury, has-beens and never-weres. Good luck with that!

    Milwaukee danced around the edges of the wild-card race last year before fading with a 9-17 September that left them barely over .500 at 82-80. They scored just 36 more runs than the Cubs did in 2014, and if they can't improve their offensive production the Cubs have a chance of passing them up in the division race.

    The Cubs will face the Brew Crew 18 times this year, and as seems to happen often, there are big gaps in between series. They'll face each other in back-to-back weekends May 1-3 (Wrigley Field) and May 8-10 (Miller Park), then not again until late July. There's another series in August and a pair in the season's final two weeks, including the last three games of the regular season in Milwaukee. If the Cubs have the year we hope they can, those last three could be quite meaningful.

    And as for Adam Lind? He's played just three career games against the Cubs, all in 2014. We'll likely see a lot more of him this summer.

    Francisco Rodriguez expected to sign soon; Brewers, Marlins interested

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    The All-Star closer is among the top free agents left on the market.

    Right-hander Francisco Rodriguez is one of the top free agents still remaining, but he may not be for much longer, as CBS Sports' Jon Heyman reports that Rodriguez is "expected to have a deal soon." The Milwaukee Brewers and Miami Marlins appear to be the two clubs that have shown the most interest in the 33-year-old, per Heyman.

    The Marlins are eyeing contention this year, and could use some additional bullpen help. However, thus far, the Marlins seem to have balked at Rodriguez's asking price, instead preferring to land him on a two-year deal in the $10 million range.

    The Brewers, who Rodriguez spent all of 2014 with, have been viewed as the most logical landing spot for Rodriguez. He was quite impressive for Milwaukee last season, and with Jonathan Broxton currently slated to be the Brewers' closer, there is a need for some back-end relief help. It seems that Rodriguez also deems Milwaukee a preferable destination, as agent Scott Boras has continuously reached out to Brewers' owner Mark Attanasio regarding Rodriguez, according to FOX Sports' Ken Rosenthal.

    MLB.com's Joe Frisaro also reported that a third team was possibly involved with Rodriguez, suggesting the Washington Nationals. However, Barry Svrluga of The Washington Post shot down that notion.

    After holding out for a two-year deal that is unlikely to come at this point (unless at a lower AAV), Rodriguez has been reported to be seeking a one-year deal worth $10 million. This late in the offseason, with team budgets already generally set in place, it seems hard to fathom that Rodriguez will receive eight figures.

    Rodriguez is arguably the best free agent still on the market, with fellow closer Rafael Soriano being his only true counterpart.

    A five-time All-Star, Rodriguez has been a consistently excellent bullpen arm outside of a blip 2012 season (4.38 ERA). In 2014, he posted a 3.04 ERA, 4.50 FIP, 2.91 xFIP, and 4.06 K/BB, while saving 44 games, his highest tally since setting the single-season saves record (62) in 2008 with the Angels.

    What we learned: February 26, 2015

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    Today's lessons include the remaining players reporting for camp, the battle for the bench spots, and more.

    Brewers News and Analysis

    NL Central Update

    Around Baseball

    What we learned: February 27, 2015

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    Today's lessons include plenty of coverage about Francisco Rodriguez's fifth contract with the Brewers.

    Francisco Rodriguez is back.

    At the end of yesterday's WWL, I noted that an undisclosed team had signed Francisco Rodriguez, and that it wasn't the Marlins or Blue Jays. Many of us hoped that some mystery team had jumped in, but it didn't take long for the truth to come out: The Brewers had agreed to another contract with Francisco Rodriguez.

    Jordan first reported the news of the deal yesterday. Instead of another one-year deal, the Brewers guaranteed Rodriguez two years this time, with an option for a third year. They also guaranteed him $13 million in salary, with $4 million of that deferred. It's hard to figure out why the Brewers keep going back to Rodriguez, but Noah has some theories on why the Brewers choose to re-sign him each year. It's pretty certain that Rodriguez does improve the team, but fans tend to not like him due to his off the field issues. In fact, when people were asked if they were glad the Brewers signed Rodriguez again, 41% said yes and 35% said no, with another 24% undecided.

    There's a lot of uncertainty about what to expect with Rodriguez entering this season. Some fans are more optimistic than others. We won't know who is right until Rodriguez steps on the field and proves someone right (and someone else wrong).

    Brewers News and Analysis

    More on the Francisco Rodriguez Signing

    More from BCB

    Notes from Brewers Camp

    Other Notes

    NL Central Update

    Around Baseball

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    Other Notes

    When Fandom Springs a Leak

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    The Brewers' latest commitment to Francisco Rodriguez has by no means driven me off the cliff, but his incremental effect has me wondering about the nature of fandom.

    Few things repel me more than a writer who scrawls from atop a moral pedestal---particularly in this medium, where armchair quarterbacking and red-faced, baseless spewing rides along AM frequencies and blog bandwidth throughout the sports talk world. Brewers fans are uniquely aware of this annoyance on account of the Ryan Braun debacle. Of course, a preface such as that is obnoxiously indicative of my own intention to engage in such rhetoric; nothing screams arrogance quite like, "Hey---I'm not racist/sexist/homophobic at all, but I must say, *insert frightening opinion here*."

    Old yet new Brewer Francisco Rodriguez's picture splays across your screen just below the headline of this article. He is, no doubt, the inspiration for this commentary; but he is only one example of many athletes who have tested us in the recent past. Their condemnation has been done to death. My aim is not to preach morality or pass judgement here, but to assess their effect on fandom.

    By now, most of us are well aware of Rodriguez's several belligerent off-the-field actions; most notably, the assault of his girlfriend's father in 2010 and the assault of his fiance in 2012. For those of you unfamiliar with the 2012 incident, the details are chilling (via Matt Snyder at CBSSports.com):

    According to the police report, via Patch.com, police found Rodriguez's fiancee, a 23-year-old female, inside a closet and crying. She told the police he struck her on the head and her nose began to bleed immediately due to a history of physical violence against her.

    She said she reached for a sweatshirt to stop the bleeding, and Rodriguez then grabbed her by the hair and threw her down to the ground, where he then allegedly repeatedly kicked her.

    Later, police interviewed Rodriguez's maid, and she told them that this kind of behavior was "normal and known" for Rodriguez.

    Two days later, Rodriguez's fiance changed her story. She cleared Rodriguez of all blame, and expressed her desire to return to her home country. The charges against Rodriguez were eventually dropped, as his fiance and the only other witness at the scene were in Venezuela, unresponsive to the prosecutor's attempts to bring the case to trial.

    I do not know Francisco Rodriguez. I do know that the Francisco Rodriguez in the story above frightens me. However, I believe few souls are completely beyond repair. For all I know, Rodriguez has cleaned up his act. But, the most recent act is not in isolation---Rodriguez has exhibited a pattern of violence that cannot be ignored.

    I will skip the macro sermon on the integrity of the game. We've all heard it. Ryan Braun helped to beat that dead horse. I want to attempt to refine my own perspective--to slip beneath the broad conversation and focus on cognitive dissonance concerning the nature of fandom in sport.

    I have experienced a non-unique evolution as a Brewers fan. As a kid, Brewers players were heroes. They weren't even human beings. They were something else. Larger than life. The Brewers were absolutely awful when I was young. But, the fantasy persisted. I didn't care much for the pitchers (because they were all brutal), but I idolized some hitters: Jeromy Burnitz. John Jaha. Dave Nilsson. B.J. Surhoff. Kevin Seitzer. Fernando Vina.

    Visiting players occasionally stirred my spirit. I recall sitting near the first base side foul pole at County Stadium when the Mariners were in town. Up in the nose bleeds, nearly eye level with the top of the pole. With the bases loaded, Ken Griffey Jr. launched a fly ball down the right field line, heading in our direction. The ball caromed off the foul pole directly in front of me, sending a booming clang echoing out among an awed audience, and a deep vibration up my spine. The grandiosity of that moment epitomizes my early quasi-spiritual relationship with the game. The baseball field was an idyllic playground. The players were, essentially, titanic, incomprehensibly talented children.

    Delusions of grandeur trickled away as I grew older. I soon learned the players were humans. I learned that they did it for money. Social media sprung into existence. Exposure swiftly ripped away veils of anonymity, purging my naive mysticism for the game.

    Soon enough, baseball players appeared no different to me than excellent computer programmers or air traffic controllers. Still in relative awe, but in a different way---awe in their near-superhuman excellence despite their being a human being. Somewhere along the line, I began to think of baseball players as human beings before baseball players. Because of this tendency, brushing off a Brewer's getting slapped with a DUI or a battery charge becomes a challenge, particularly when the offenses pile up.

    Why is this a challenge? The uniform. The ball-and-glove logo on the cap. The name spread across the front of the jersey. If I identify as a Brewers fan, that player necessarily represents my team. Every fan's feeling of "representation" varies. As I've grown older, this feeling of representation has slowly disintegrated. Not only due to the nature of the team's players, of course, but simple questions, such as: Why do I determine my allegiances based on geography?Why do I continue to follow a team unconditionally, through constant personnel changes?; Why not just follow the team(s) with my favorite player(s)?

    Many people are immune to such degeneration: Brewers fans, through and through. They're our guys. Regardless of off-the-field issues, if he plays well, and the team wins, nothing else matters. I envy that detachment, in a way. However, I find myself more and more often glossing over the jersey to the person who wears it.

    But most often, the individual recedes into the background entirely. The game itself takes precedence. Nothing is lost there. I prefer the Brewers win, sure, but I find myself softening on that stance. On the fandom spectrum, I have shimmied away from the Brewers' end and toward baseball's. When the Brewers sign a pitcher that inspires me to root for the hitter, I shimmy quicker.

    Francisco Rodriguez is not a person for whom I wish professional success, particularly in a vocation which has often had an influence in the incidents which haunt his past. The amateur psychoanalyst in me finds discomfort in encouraging him to indulge in a hyper-competitive activity that demands a determined will to dominate. Selfishly, my retroactive desire for serious formal discipline, such as suspension or banning from the league, burns far less than my desire for the Brewers' exercising of the choice to not employ him, sparing some of their fans persisting irritability. A choice is a statement. If the Brewers had made a different choice, I would more willingly pitch a tent in their camp.

    The Brewers' front office doesn't seem to be too bothered. He assaulted his fiance as a Brewer in 2012. The Brewers re-signed him to a minor league deal in 2013. In 2014, the Brewers signed him again.

    2015? Same story. This time, a two year deal. Two more years of awkward ninth innings---quietly hoping Francisco Rodriguez loses, and the Brewers win. To my discouragement, I find myself leaning ever so slightly more toward the former, and less toward the latter.

    Aramis Ramirez likely to retire after season

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    The Brewers' third baseman will likely retire after an eighteen-year major-league career.

    Brewers' third baseman Aramis Ramirez is likely to retire as a player following the season, according to a report from Tom Haudricourt of the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel. Ramirez could have tested free agency last winter, but instead chose to exercise his $14 million player option to return to the Brewers for a fourth season.

    Ramirez, who turns 37 in June, is entering his eighteenth major-league season since making his debut with the Pirates in 1998. He is a lifetime .285/.344/.496 hitter with 369 home runs in that time, and has been named to the NL All-Star team on three occasions.

    Though the Brewers do not currently have a top prospect slated to take over at the hot corner once Ramirez retires, there are a few options for them available on the free-agent market next winter. David Freese, Casey McGehee and Juan Uribe are among the third baseman who will hit free agency after the season.

    Todd Frazier 2015 Preview

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    The Toddfather, at a glance.


    Fast Facts:

    Did you know that Todd Frazier won the 1998 Little League World Series with his Toms River, NJ little teammates?  You may have heard that Todd Frazier won the 1998 Little League World Series with his Toms River, NJ little teammates in passing somewhere, but now, in this here 2015 preview, I can confirm for you that Todd Frazier won the 1998 Little League World Series with his Toms River, NJ little teammates.

    Some twelve years prior to those exploits, Todd B. Frazier was born with a middle name known only to Homer J. Simpson in Point Pleasant, New Jersey, gracing the world with his presence on February 12, 1986.  Todd wasted no time in learning his slugging ways, and after honking legendary dingers in South Williamsport, he matriculated to Toms River High School South and kept right on raking.  He was originally drafted by the Colorado Rockies in the 37th round of the 2004 MLB Draft after a stellar high school career, which made him the third player ever selected out of Toms River South along with older brother Charlie (taken by the then Florida Marlins in the 6th round of the 1999 draft) and Milwaukee Brewers 8th round pick in 1973, Jerry Costain.

    Todd balked at joining the Rockies, and instead opted to stick around Jersey for a few more years and ply his trade at Rutgers University in the footsteps of his other older brother, Jeff, who was taken in the 3rd round of the 2004 MLB Draft out of Rutgers by the Detroit Tigers just before Todd made his way to New Brunswick.  Todd starred while a Scarlet Knight, earning All American honors, taking home the 2007 Big East Player of the Year Award, and turning enough heads to warrant being selected 34th overall by the Cincinnati Reds in the 2007 MLB Draft.  At that time, he became the 62nd player ever selected out of Rutgers, with only Bobby Brownlie (taken 21st overall in 1992 by the LOLCubs) having been drafted higher in the program's history.

    To date, Todd's 10.9 career bWAR ranks as the 3rd most ever by a Rutgers product, trailing only Eric Young, Sr. (18.7) and long time future Red David DeJesus (22.6).

    Todd bazooka'd his way through the lower minors in 2007 & 2008, showing that his lean was gangster enough to land in the thick of the Top 100 prospect lists of both Baseball America and Baseball Prospectus, but a relative boop of a year in 2010 - his first at the AAA level - rendered him almost an afterthought as a potential impact player in most scouts eyes.  Funny how the "arm bar" in his swing hadn't been a deterrent to said scouts and analysts prior to being 23 in AAA in 2010, but a .190 ISO, 17 dingers in a dinger suppressing park, and solid defense while showing LF, 3B, and 1B versatility did.  Todd was assigned to Louisville again in 2011, and he spent the year bouncing back and forth between the Bats and the Reds following his first career call-up on May 23.

    Finally, Todd got a series of breaks in 2012, and he capitalized on them tremendously.  The Reds traded their other top 3B prospect, Juan Francisco, just days prior to the start of the season, clearing the path for Todd to be the primary corner IF on the pecking order, and subsequent injuries to Scott Rolen and Joey Votto opened the door for Frazier to get regular run in the Cincinnati lineup.  A 3rd place finish in the 2012 NL Rookie of the Year voting followed, as did an All Star appearance in 2014 and 12 million guaranteed buckaroos.

    Organizational History:

    Contract Status:

    (via Cot's Baseball Contracts)

    2 years/$12M (2015-16)

    Signed extension with Cincinnati 2/8/15 (avoided arbitration, $5.7M-$3.9M).

    $1.5M signing bonus.

    2015:$3M,2016:$7.5M

    Career Stats:

    Scouting:

    Ratings via The Baseball Cube

    Speed: (70)
    Contact: (47)
    Patience: (65)
    Batting: (65)
    Power: (82)

    2015 Projections:

    PAHRRRBISBAVG/OBP/SLGDEFWAR
    Steamer54721616511.248/.316/.431+1.82.6
    ZiPS60525808413.258/.323/.454+33.6

    Defense:

    Fan Scouting Report Ratings via FanGraphs (career rating)

    Instincts: (60)
    First step: (55)
    Speed: (49)
    Hands: (59)
    Release: (59)
    Arm strength: (59)
    Arm accuracy: (59)
    Overall: (57)

    FSR: 7

    Compare those to the ones listed for Brandon Phillips, and see if you still put any stock in these particular ratings.  They're fan generated, and as far as I'm concerned, they're ridiculously inaccurate and far underestimating Todd's defense.  Either that, or the awful sample size of him playing at 1B has dragged his overall numbers so far down that his stellar 3B play is wholly unrecognizable in these ratings.  Basically, just pretend I didn't populate this section and just know that Todd's an above average defender.  Freakin' fans and their graphs.

    Pitch f/x Hitter Profile (2011-2014):

    Outlook:

    Todd Frazier is the only Reds regular that I honestly hope replicates his 2014 (since as much as I love what Devin Mesoraco did while on the field last year, I'm hoping he can avoid having multiple stints on the DL in 2015).  While that's certainly an indictment of how many players had awful, awful 2014 seasons, it's also an endorsement of Todd putting his sophomore slump behind him and putting together a full season that showed his 2012 breakout was no fluke.  Top flight 3B defense, 30 dinger power potential, and a jovial attitude to keep the dugout warm and fuzzy would once more provide the Reds with exactly what they'd love to see from a lineup cog in his prime, and while Frazier surely hopes to keep improving, even he'd probably take that for 2015, too.  That would be good enough to see him make a repeat appearance in the All Star game, where he'd have a chance to defend his NL title in front of the home fans in Great American Ball Park while putting a few memorable dents into the side of the riverboat above the batter's eye, too.

    There's no crazy BABIP spike that makes that unreasonable to hope for, nor is there a crazy HR/FB% that screams regression.  He may not accrue another 20 steal season on deceptive speed and aggressive team tendency alone, but him being more selective and infrequent in that regard may turn out to be more of a benefit than trying it more.  The bottom line, though, is that Frazier is an in-prime player who posted a stock issue in-prime season in 2014, and there's no clear outlier statistic that suggests it can't be replicated in 2015.  If that's the case, the Reds have themselves a heckuva 3B and a player that stands to carve out quite a career peak in Cincinnati.


    What we learned: March 3, 2015

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    Today's lessons include how to react to the Francisco Rodriguez signing, more in our BCB Community Prospect Rankings, and more news from Brewers camp.

    Brewers News and Analysis

    From BCB

    Brewers News from Camp

    Other Notes

    Around Baseball

    Transactions

    Other Notes

    Miami Marlins made 2-year offer to Francisco Rodriguez

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    The Marlins reportedly made a two-year, $10 million offer, however K-Rod opted to remain in Milwaukee.

    Miami has been interested in adding to its bullpen since the start of spring training, and the club had been linked to Francisco Rodriguez. While Rodriguez ultimately opted to resign with the Brewers, CBS Sports' Jon Heyman notes the Marlins made Rodriguez a two-year, $10 million contract offer.

    Rodriguez, 33, posted a 3.04 ERA and 4.50 FIP in 68.0 innings pitched with the Brewers a season ago. He also closed 44 games, and would have added an experienced arm to the back of the Marlins' bullpen. However, the Marlins are confident in their bullpen, which will feature Steve Cishek, Bryan Morris, Mike Dunn, and A.J. Ramos in 2015. The Marlins could also look to add another left-handed relief option, although the organization is confident in Rule 5 draft pick Andrew McKirahan.

    Although the Marlins did win their arbitration cases with Mat Latos and David Phelps, Rodriguez's desired contract was likely too costly for Miami. The Marlins offered him $5 million a season, though Rodriguez had reportedly been seeking a deal that paid him $10 million for one season. He settled on a two-year, $13 million deal with a club option for 2017 with the Brewers.

    Steve Cishek has evolved as one of the best closers in baseball, with a group of productive setup options in front of him. Adding Rodriguez would have given the Marlins depth and experience, however Dunn, Morris, or Ramos could close a game if Cishek were to get overused and became unavailable to pitch in the ninth inning. The Marlins could still look to add to their bullpen. But the unit was efficient in 2014 and is expected to produce consistently again in 2015.

    Entire 40-man roster signed

    Miami agreed to one-year contracts with 23 players, and after renewing the contracts of Sam Dyson and Adeiny Hechavarria, now have all 40 members of the 40-man roster under contract for 2015.

    What we learned: March 4, 2015

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    Today's lessons include the start of spring training games today and more.

    Brewers News and Analysis

    Today’s Action

    Spring training games officially kick off today. The first game is an exhibition against UW-Milwaukee. First pitch is at 3:10 pm, and there is no TV or radio coverage for this exhibition game. Mike Fiers will make the start, and here is today's lineup:

    2B Scooter Gennett
    SS Jean Segura
    CF Carlos Gomez
    1B Adam Lind
    LF Khris Davis
    RF Gerardo Parra
    C Martin Maldonado
    3B Luis Jimenez
    DH Jason Rogers
    RHP Mike Fiers

    Crane Kenney: Cubs Considered Playing A Season In Milwaukee

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    This isn't really news, but it's an interesting discussion topic nonetheless.

    Cubs President of Business Operations Crane Kenney made an appearance on 670 The Score Wednesday morning, and the most interesting thing he said was this:

    If you think you've heard something like this before, you have. Two years ago I wrote this post which cited a Sun-Times article in which Cubs spokesman Julian Green was quoted as saying:

    Cubs spokesman Julian Green said the plan — which called for all home games in April and May in 2014 and 2015 to be moved to Miller Park in Milwaukee — was just one of "a number of different options" being considered and is now "off the table."
    
    For now, the Cubs say they’ll play all their home games at Wrigley Field while the anticipated work is completed.
    
    But the Miller Park plan was considered seriously enough that the Brewers were consulted and at one point late last season Cubs business executives apprised the baseball-operations side about the possibility.

    That, of course, was still when the Cubs had hoped to begin their construction project when the 2013 season was over. Crane Kenney's statement indicates that they had considered playing an entire season -- perhaps 2015? -- at Miller Park, which would have given them from September 2014 to April 2016 to do significant work at Wrigley Field.

    Logistically, this would have created significant issues for Cubs season-ticket holders who live, say, anywhere south of the Lake/Cook county line in Illinois. Even that line is about 70 miles from Miller Park; those season-ticket holders who live in the city of Chicago would be faced with a 90-mile drive to every game. The Bears did something like this when they played a year in Champaign while Soldier Field was being redone -- but that was just eight games, once a week, mostly on Sundays. Baseball is a daily commitment. Further, since the Cubs and Brewers are in the same division and are often home at the same time, scheduling might have been difficult.

    The Cell would have been, in my view, a better answer if the Cubs wanted to vacate Wrigley for a year to complete the project. At least it's in the city of Chicago and accessible by public transit. There is a small subset of Cubs fans who refuse to go there. I know some of these people personally and I simply don't understand that position. It's a major-league ballpark with (mostly) good sightlines and natural grass.

    Anyway, none of this is likely ever going to happen but since Kenney said something about this on the radio today, I thought you might want to talk about it.

    What we learned: March 5, 2015

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    Today's lessons include the first spring training game, the possibility of the Cubs calling Miller Park home, and the TV schedule.

    Yesterday’s Results

    Brewers 8, Panthers 0

    The Brewers officially kicked off their spring training games with an 8-0 win over the UW-Milwaukee Panthers yesterday. After three scoreless innings, the Brewers got on the board in the fourth inning with a Khris Davis two-run RBI single. The Brewers would end up scoring eight runs on ten hits, while limiting the Panthers to just one hit on seventeen strikeouts. The Panthers did have one highlight moment, as pitcher Joe Pavlovich struck out the side in order in one inning.

    Brewers News and Analysis

    From BCB

    News from Brewers Camp

    Other Notes

    Around Baseball

    Today’s Action

    The first "official" game of spring training will take place this afternoon. The Brewers travel to face the Angels in their first Cactus League game of the season. First pitch is at 2:05 pm, and there will be full coverage today. The game will air on Fox Sports Wisconsin and on the radio, and will also be shown tape-delayed on MLB Network. Here is the lineup for today's game:

    2B Scooter Gennett
    SS Jean Segura
    RF Ryan Braun
    1B Matt Clark
    CF Gerardo Parra
    3B Luis Jimenez
    DH Jason Rogers
    C Martin Maldonado
    LF Matt Long
    RHP Kyle Lohse

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